Chapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Serie A action on Sunday 15 November sees Vasco DA Gama travel to face Chapecoense-sc at Arena Condá – the whistle goes at 00:30 WAT. Going in, Chapecoense-sc are 20th with 21 points and Vasco DA Gama 13th with 41 – one in the drop zone, the other in the lower half. There are 20 points between them – very different campaigns so far.
Form guide
Chapecoense-sc over their last 5: LLWLL Most recently they were beaten by Mirassol 1–2 at home. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. Just 0.7 goals per match – chances are not being taken.
Vasco DA Gama over their last 5: WWLLW Most recently they got past Palmeiras 2–1 at home. Scoring 1.7, conceding 2.0 per match.
On points per game, Vasco DA Gama arrive in better shape – 1.5 against 0.5.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Chapecoense-sc 0.9 – 2.0 Vasco DA Gama in expected goals, roughly 3.0 combined. Expect chances at both ends – 57% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Chapecoense-sc 18%, draw 18%, Vasco DA Gama 64%.
- Both teams to score: yes – 59% at 1.64.
Verdict
The 90Predict call: Vasco DA Gama to win (64% chance, priced 1.59). Correct-score lean: Chapecoense-sc 0–2 Vasco DA Gama. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
