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Lillestrom v Aalesund prediction

3:2
FT xG2.34 – 1.24
Lillestrom61%@1.70Draw20%@4.50Aalesund18%@4.10
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 01:53 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
82%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

Lillestrom or draw

Very strongFair 1.23Odds 1.22
Rating9/10

Picks by market

ResultLillestrom to win ✓61% · @1.70
Double chanceLillestrom or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%

Lillestrom vs Aalesund – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Eliteserien action on Sunday 8 November sees Aalesund travel to face Lillestrom – the whistle goes at 17:00 WAT. Going in, Lillestrom are 4th with 45 points and Aalesund 15th with 24 – one inside the top four, the other in the drop zone. There are 21 points between them – very different campaigns so far.

Form guide

Lillestrom over their last 5: LWWWL Most recently they were beaten by Plzen 0–1 at home. On home soil in that run: 2 wins, 2 defeats in 4. Scoring 1.3, conceding 1.7 per match.

Aalesund over their last 5: LWLWL Most recently they were beaten by Sandefjord 3–4 at home. Away from home in that run: 3 wins, 1 defeat in 4. 2.3 goals per outing tells you the attack is clicking.

On points per game, Lillestrom arrive in better shape – 2.0 against 1.5.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (15 Mar 2026): Aalesund 1–3 Lillestrom.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Lillestrom 2.3 – 1.2 Aalesund in expected goals, roughly 3.6 combined. Expect chances at both ends – 71% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Lillestrom 61%, draw 20%, Aalesund 18%.
  • Safer cover: Lillestrom or draw – 82% at 1.22.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 67% at 1.36.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Lillestrom or draw (82% chance, priced 1.22). Correct-score lean: Lillestrom 2–1 Aalesund. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lillestrom61%fair 1.63 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @4.50
Aalesund18%fair 5.43 · @4.10
3.59Expected goals
2.34Lillestrom xG
1.24Aalesund xG
67%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–06%
3–06%

From our goals model: Lillestrom 2.3 – 1.2 Aalesund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLillestrom to win ✓61%1.631.70
Double chanceLillestrom or draw ✓82%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.491.36
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.141.08
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.411.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗50%1.991.91
Half-time resultLillestrom ahead at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lillestrom / FT Lillestrom ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.58–

Recent results

Lillestrom – last 6

LWWWLW
5 Novvs Plzen0–1L
1 Nov@ Start1–0W
28 Octvs Sogndal2–1W
25 Octvs Brann3–2W
22 Octvs Real Sociedad0–6L
18 Oct@ Sandefjord2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Aalesund – last 6

LWLWLW
31 Octvs Sandefjord3–4L
28 Oct@ Kristiansund BK2–0W
25 Oct@ Sarpsborg 08 FF1–2L
17 Oct@ Kristiansund BK4–1W
11 Octvs Sarpsborg 08 FF2–4L
19 Sep@ Molde2–1W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Aalesund v Lillestrom1–3
Lillestrom vs Aalesund head-to-head page →

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking262024+4262
2Bodo/Glimt262024+4062
3Rosenborg261448+2146
4Lillestrom261439+445
5Molde261358+2044
6Tromso261178+340
7Brann2610313+333
8Valerenga269512-432
9Sarpsborg 08 FF268711-1031
10KFUM Oslo268711-1331
11Ham-Kam268612-1530
12Fredrikstad268612-1530
13Sandefjord267712-828
14Kristiansund BK267514-2126
15Aalesund265912-1524
16Start265417-3219

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

90Predict goes with Lillestrom or draw – a 82% chance, priced at 1.22.

Who will win Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

Lillestrom win 61% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, Aalesund 18%.

How many goals will there be in Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

Around 3.6 goals on our projection – 71% for over 2.5 and 67% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

Our correct-score lean is Lillestrom 2–1 Aalesund – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.6.

When is Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

Lillestrom vs Aalesund (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.