Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Super Nova v BFC Daugavpils is one of the Virsliga fixtures we have priced for Sunday 8 November (12:00 WAT, Slokas Stadions). The standings: Super Nova sit 6th on 40 points after 36 matches (in the lower half), BFC Daugavpils 4th on 52 (inside the top four). There are 12 points between them – very different campaigns so far.
Form guide
Super Nova over their last 5: DLLLW Most recently they shared the points with FK Liepaja 3–3 on the road. Scoring 1.0, conceding 2.3 per match.
BFC Daugavpils over their last 5: WWWWD Most recently they got past Tukums 2–0 at home. Away from home in that run: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.3, conceding 0.7 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
On points per game, BFC Daugavpils arrive in better shape – 2.2 against 0.7.
Past meetings
Last time out between these two (22 Aug 2026): Super Nova 0–0 BFC Daugavpils. Across 3 meetings on record, Super Nova have won 1, BFC Daugavpils 0 and 2 finished level, averaging 0.3 goals.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Super Nova 1.1 – 1.4 BFC Daugavpils in expected goals, roughly 2.6 combined. A middling goal outlook: 49% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams scoring. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Super Nova 32%, draw 20%, BFC Daugavpils 48%.
- Both teams to score: yes – 59% at 1.80.
What we called
Ade Ola's pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73% chance, priced 1.33). Correct-score lean: Super Nova 1–1 BFC Daugavpils. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
