FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Kick-off 11:30 WAT on Sunday 8 November: FC Tallinn take on Tallinna Kalev in the Esiliiga A. Going in, FC Tallinn are 8th with 41 points and Tallinna Kalev 7th with 41 – one in the drop zone, the other in the lower half. Level on points, so the result shifts the table for both.
Form guide
FC Tallinn over their last 5: LWLLW Most recently they were beaten by Nõmme United II 1–3 on the road. On home soil in that run: 0 wins, 3 defeats in 3. Just 0.8 goals per match – chances are not being taken.
Tallinna Kalev over their last 5: DWLLL Most recently they shared the points with Elva 0–0 on the road. Away from home in that run: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.5, conceding 1.8 per match.
Past meetings
Last time out between these two (8 Aug 2026): Tallinna Kalev 1–1 FC Tallinn. Across 3 meetings on record, FC Tallinn have won 0, Tallinna Kalev 1 and 2 finished level, averaging 3.3 goals – both teams found the net in 3 of them.
Goal forecast
Our model projects FC Tallinn 1.3 – 2.4 Tallinna Kalev in expected goals, roughly 3.7 combined. Expect chances at both ends – 72% for three or more goals, 71% for GG. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): FC Tallinn 23%, draw 14%, Tallinna Kalev 63%.
- Both teams to score: yes – 71% at 1.28.
What we called
Ade Ola's pre-match call was Tallinna Kalev to win (63% chance, priced 1.74 – longer than our fair 1.58, which makes it a value play). Correct-score lean: FC Tallinn 1–2 Tallinna Kalev. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
