AOBy Ade Ola · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 01:00 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
76%chance
90Predict pick
Over 1.5 goals
StrongFair 1.32Odds 1.21
Rating8/10
Picks by market
ResultAlgeria to win72% · @1.17
Double chanceAlgeria or draw94%
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.43
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–011%
Algeria vs Togo – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Algeria v Togo is one of the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification fixtures we have priced for Saturday 14 November (20:00 WAT). Going in, Algeria are 1st with 16 points and Togo 3rd with 5.
Form guide
Algeria over their last 5: WDWLD Most recently they got past Niger 2–1 at home. On home soil in that run: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. 2.0 goals per outing tells you the attack is clicking.
Togo over their last 5: LWWDW Most recently they were beaten by Zambia 0–2 on the road. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 4. Scoring 1.7, conceding 1.0 per match.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Algeria 2.2 – 0.6 Togo in expected goals, roughly 2.7 combined. A middling goal outlook: 51% for over 2.5, 46% for both teams scoring.
Betting angles
Match result (1X2): Algeria 72%, draw 22%, Togo 6%.
Both teams to score: no – 54% at 1.43.
Verdict
Ade Ola's verdict: Over 1.5 goals (76% chance, priced 1.21). Correct-score lean: Algeria 2–0 Togo. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
Result chances
Algeria72%fair 1.39 · @1.17
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @5.45
Togo6%fair 16.26 · @14.00
2.74Expected goals
2.16Algeria xG
0.58Togo xG
46%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–014%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Algeria 2.2 – 0.6 Togo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Algeria to win
72%
1.39
1.17
Double chance
Algeria or draw
94%
1.07
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.84
1.43
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.94
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.29
Half-time result
Algeria ahead at half-time
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Algeria / FT Algeria
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0
11%
9.18
–
Recent results
Algeria – last 6
WDWLDW
6 Oct
vs Niger
2–1
W
29 Sep
@ Burundi
2–2
D
25 Sep
vs Zambia
3–1
W
3 Jul
@ Switzerland
0–2
L
28 Jun
vs Austria
3–3
D
23 Jun
@ Jordan
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Togo – last 6
LWWDWD
29 Sep
@ Zambia
0–2
L
25 Sep
vs Burundi
1–0
W
9 Jun
vs Benin
5–1
W
5 Jun
@ Central African Republic
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ Niger
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Guinea
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Algeria and Togo.
90Predict goes with Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance, priced at 1.21.
Who will win Algeria vs Togo?
Algeria win 72% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Togo 6%.
How many goals will there be in Algeria vs Togo?
Around 2.7 goals on our projection – 51% for over 2.5 and 46% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Algeria vs Togo?
Our correct-score lean is Algeria 2–0 Togo – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.7.
When is Algeria vs Togo?
Algeria vs Togo (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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