Primera A Full time Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau

Alianza Valledupar v Llaneros prediction

1:2
FT xG1.35 – 1.00
Alianza Valledupar47%@2.30Draw23%@3.00Llaneros30%@3.40
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 00:33 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
78%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.29Odds 1.22
Rating9/10
Value

Alianza Valledupar to win @ 2.30our chance 47% vs 43% in the price · edge +8%

Picks by market

ResultAlianza Valledupar to win ✗47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%

Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Kick-off 02:15 WAT on Monday 9 November: Alianza Valledupar take on Llaneros in the Primera A, with Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau hosting. The standings: Alianza Valledupar sit 16th on 18 points after 18 matches (in the lower half), Llaneros 12th on 23 (in the lower half).

Form guide

Alianza Valledupar over their last 5: LLWWD Most recently they were beaten by Independiente Medellin 1–2 on the road. Scoring 1.0, conceding 1.3 per match.

Llaneros over their last 5: WLLWL Most recently they got past Junior 3–2 at home. Away from home in that run: 0 wins, 3 defeats in 3. Just 0.8 goals per match – chances are not being taken.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (27 Apr 2026): Llaneros 0–0 Alianza Valledupar.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Alianza Valledupar 1.4 – 1.0 Llaneros in expected goals, roughly 2.4 combined. A middling goal outlook: 42% for over 2.5, 51% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Alianza Valledupar 47%, draw 23%, Llaneros 30%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 51% at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Alianza Valledupar to win at 2.30 – we make it 47%, the odds imply 43%.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78% chance, priced 1.22). Correct-score lean: Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Llaneros. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alianza Valledupar47%fair 2.13 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.00
Llaneros30%fair 3.35 · @3.40
2.35Expected goals
1.35Alianza Valledupar xG
1.00Llaneros xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–19%
2–09%

From our goals model: Alianza Valledupar 1.4 – 1.0 Llaneros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlianza Valledupar to win ✗47%2.132.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.951.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.461.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.731.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alianza Valledupar / FT Alianza Valledupar ✗26%3.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.50–

Recent results

Alianza Valledupar – last 6

LLWWDL
2 Nov@ Independiente Medellin1–2L
29 Oct@ Once Caldas0–1L
25 Octvs Internacional de Bogota1–0W
20 Oct@ Deportivo Pasto1–0W
10 Octvs Águilas Doradas2–2D
3 Oct@ Deportivo Cali1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Llaneros – last 6

WLLWLL
1 Novvs Junior3–2W
27 Oct@ Jaguares0–1L
22 Octvs Deportivo Cali0–3L
19 Octvs Santa Fe1–0W
16 Oct@ Internacional de Bogota1–4L
10 Oct@ Once Caldas0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Apr 2026Llaneros v Alianza Valledupar0–0
Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?

90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance, priced at 1.22.

Who will win Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?

Alianza Valledupar win 47% of the time on our model, the draw 23%, Llaneros 30%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?

Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 42% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?

Our correct-score lean is Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Llaneros – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.4.

When is Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?

Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.