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Santa Fe v Deportivo Pasto prediction

Santa FeLLLWW
5:0
FT xG2.24 – 0.59
Deportivo PastoLWLLD
Santa Fe73%@1.07Draw20%@8.75Deportivo Pasto7%@24.00
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 02:58 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
74%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

Over 1.5 goals

StrongFair 1.36Odds 1.33
Rating8/10
Value

Under 3.5 goals @ 1.90our chance 58% vs 53% in the price · edge +11%

Picks by market

ResultSanta Fe to win ✓73% · @1.07
Double chanceSanta Fe or draw ✓93% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%

Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Santa Fe v Deportivo Pasto is one of the Primera A fixtures we have priced for Sunday 8 November (20:00 WAT). The standings: Santa Fe sit 5th on 31 points after 18 matches (in the upper half), Deportivo Pasto 18th on 15 (in the drop zone). There are 16 points between them – very different campaigns so far.

Form guide

Santa Fe over their last 5: LLLWW Most recently they were beaten by Cucuta 0–1 on the road. On home soil in that run: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. Just 0.7 goals per match – chances are not being taken.

Deportivo Pasto over their last 5: LWLLD Most recently they were beaten by Bucaramanga 1–2 on the road. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 3 defeats in 4. Just 0.3 goals per match – chances are not being taken.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (24 Apr 2026): Deportivo Pasto 1–2 Santa Fe.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Santa Fe 2.2 – 0.6 Deportivo Pasto in expected goals, roughly 2.8 combined. A middling goal outlook: 56% for over 2.5, 51% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Santa Fe 73%, draw 20%, Deportivo Pasto 7%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 51% at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals at 1.90 – we make it 58%, the odds imply 53%.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74% chance, priced 1.33). Correct-score lean: Santa Fe 2–0 Deportivo Pasto. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Santa Fe73%fair 1.36 · @1.07
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @8.75
Deportivo Pasto7%fair 15.20 · @24.00
2.84Expected goals
2.24Santa Fe xG
0.59Deportivo Pasto xG
51%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%
1–013%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Santa Fe 2.2 – 0.6 Deportivo Pasto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanta Fe to win ✓73%1.361.07
Double chanceSanta Fe or draw ✓93%1.071.01
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.971.93
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.711.90 ▲
Half-time resultSanta Fe ahead at half-time ✓54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Santa Fe / FT Santa Fe ✓50%1.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.43–

Recent results

Santa Fe – last 6

LLLWWL
5 Nov@ Cucuta0–1L
2 Novvs Once Caldas0–2L
30 Oct@ Atletico Nacional0–2L
27 Octvs Bucaramanga2–1W
22 Octvs Jaguares2–1W
19 Oct@ Llaneros0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Deportivo Pasto – last 6

LWLLDL
31 Oct@ Bucaramanga1–2L
26 Oct@ Deportes Tolima1–0W
23 Oct@ Atletico Nacional0–3L
20 Octvs Alianza Valledupar0–1L
4 Octvs Fortaleza FC0–0D
26 Sep@ Chico0–3L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026Deportivo Pasto v Santa Fe1–2
Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

League hub
FT Atletico Nacional4 Deportivo Pereira3 Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.1776%X6.4515%213.009% U3.562%@1.61✗
FT America de Cali0 Deportivo Cali0 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.1146%X3.0523%23.5231% O1.567%@1.34✗
FT Jaguares0 Bucaramanga4 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 13.6024%X3.6018%21.8958% O1.576%@1.20✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?

90Predict goes with Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance, priced at 1.33.

Who will win Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?

Santa Fe win 73% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, Deportivo Pasto 7%.

How many goals will there be in Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?

Around 2.8 goals on our projection – 56% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?

Our correct-score lean is Santa Fe 2–0 Deportivo Pasto – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.8.

When is Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?

Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.