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Serie A Full time Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa v AC Milan prediction

GenoaWWWLW
1:2
FT xG0.73 – 1.85
AC MilanLWLWL
Genoa13%@3.90Draw23%@3.40AC Milan63%@1.95
By · Lead analystUpdated 11 Nov 2026, 22:27 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
87%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

AC Milan or draw

Very strongFair 1.16Odds 1.22
Rating10/10
Value

AC Milan to win @ 1.95our chance 63% vs 51% in the price · edge +23%

Picks by market

ResultAC Milan to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceAC Milan or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%

Genoa vs AC Milan – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

On the 90Predict board for Sunday 8 November: Genoa host AC Milan in the Serie A at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, kick-off 15:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Genoa over their last 5: WWWLW Most recently they got past Lecce 2–1 on the road. On home soil in that run: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.2, conceding 1.0 per match.

AC Milan over their last 5: LWLWL Most recently they were beaten by Ferencvarosi TC 0–2 at home. Scoring 1.7, conceding 2.0 per match.

On points per game, Genoa arrive in better shape – 2.0 against 1.5.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (17 May 2026): Genoa 1–2 AC Milan.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Genoa 0.7 – 1.8 AC Milan in expected goals, roughly 2.6 combined. A middling goal outlook: 45% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Genoa 13%, draw 23%, AC Milan 63%.
  • Safer cover: AC Milan or draw – 87% at 1.22.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 55% at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: AC Milan to win at 1.95 – we make it 63%, the odds imply 51%.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was AC Milan or draw (87% chance, priced 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, which makes it a value play). Correct-score lean: Genoa 0–1 AC Milan. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Genoa13%fair 7.42 · @3.90
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.40
AC Milan63%fair 1.58 · @1.95
2.58Expected goals
0.73Genoa xG
1.85AC Milan xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–08%

From our goals model: Genoa 0.7 – 1.8 AC Milan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAC Milan to win ✓63%1.581.95 ▲
Double chanceAC Milan or draw ✓87%1.161.22 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.401.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Half-time resultAC Milan ahead at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT AC Milan / FT AC Milan ✓40%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%10.55–

Recent results

Genoa – last 6

WWWLWL
1 Nov@ Lecce2–1W
28 Octvs Juventus2–0W
25 Octvs Venezia1–0W
17 Oct@ AS Roma0–2L
10 Octvs Fiorentina2–1W
2 Oct@ Rapid0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

AC Milan – last 6

LWLWLW
5 Novvs Ferencvarosi TC0–2L
31 Octvs Inter3–1W
28 Octvs Bologna2–4L
25 Oct@ Udinese2–0W
22 Oct@ Bournemouth0–3L
18 Octvs Atalanta3–2W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Genoa v AC Milan1–2
Genoa vs AC Milan head-to-head page →

More Serie A predictions

League hub
FT Napoli1 Lazio1 Tip: Both teams to score 12.2537%X3.7020%22.9043% GG65%@1.50✓
FT Monza0 Atalanta1 Tip: Atalanta to win 13.6022%X3.8012%21.9565% 265%@1.95✓
FT Inter2 Como0 Tip: Both teams to score 12.0049%X4.1018%23.2032% GG65%@1.53✗
FT Fiorentina2 Juventus2 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 13.3035%X3.3022%22.2044% O1.577%@1.25✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Genoa vs AC Milan?

90Predict goes with AC Milan or draw – a 87% chance, priced at 1.22.

Who will win Genoa vs AC Milan?

Genoa win 13% of the time on our model, the draw 23%, AC Milan 63%.

How many goals will there be in Genoa vs AC Milan?

Around 2.6 goals on our projection – 45% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Genoa vs AC Milan?

Our correct-score lean is Genoa 0–1 AC Milan – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.6.

When is Genoa vs AC Milan?

Genoa vs AC Milan (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.