Leon vs Guadalajara Chivas – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Kick-off 03:00 WAT on Monday 9 November: Leon take on Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX, with Estadio León hosting.
Form guide
Leon over their last 5: LDWLD Most recently they were beaten by Cruz Azul 1–2 on the road. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.7, conceding 1.7 per match.
Guadalajara Chivas over their last 5: WWWDD Most recently they got past Atlante FC 4–2 at home. Scoring 1.7, conceding 0.7 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
On points per game, Guadalajara Chivas arrive in better shape – 2.3 against 1.3.
Past meetings
Last time out between these two (19 Mar 2026): Guadalajara Chivas 5–0 Leon.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Leon 1.0 – 1.8 Guadalajara Chivas in expected goals, roughly 2.8 combined. A middling goal outlook: 55% for over 2.5, 60% for both teams scoring.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Leon 20%, draw 22%, Guadalajara Chivas 57%.
- Safer cover: Guadalajara Chivas or draw – 80% at 1.28.
- Both teams to score: yes – 60% at 1.57.
- Price worth noting: Guadalajara Chivas to win at 1.95 – we make it 57%, the odds imply 51%.
What we called
Ade Ola's pre-match call was Guadalajara Chivas or draw (80% chance, priced 1.28). Correct-score lean: Leon 0–1 Guadalajara Chivas. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
