First League Full time Stadion Spartak

Spartak Varna v Arda Kardzhali prediction

3:2
FT xG1.13 – 1.42
Spartak Varna32%@3.75Draw22%@3.25Arda Kardzhali46%@2.05
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 01:44 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
76%chance
90Predict pick · Lost ✗

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.32Odds 1.22
Rating8/10
Value

Spartak Varna to win @ 3.75our chance 32% vs 27% in the price · edge +21%

Picks by market

ResultArda Kardzhali to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%

Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

On the 90Predict board for Sunday 8 November: Spartak Varna host Arda Kardzhali in the First League at Stadion Spartak, kick-off 13:00 (WAT). The standings: Spartak Varna sit 7th on 16 points after 14 matches (in the upper half), Arda Kardzhali 6th on 21 (in the upper half).

Form guide

Spartak Varna over their last 5: LLWWL Most recently they were beaten by CSKA 1948 1–6 on the road. Scoring 1.0, conceding 1.8 per match.

Arda Kardzhali over their last 5: WDWLL Most recently they got past Septemvri Sofia 2–1 at home. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.0, conceding 1.8 per match.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (27 Feb 2026): Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Spartak Varna.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Spartak Varna 1.1 – 1.4 Arda Kardzhali in expected goals, roughly 2.5 combined. A middling goal outlook: 45% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Spartak Varna 32%, draw 22%, Arda Kardzhali 46%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 55% at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Spartak Varna to win at 3.75 – we make it 32%, the odds imply 27%.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76% chance, priced 1.22). Correct-score lean: Spartak Varna 1–1 Arda Kardzhali. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spartak Varna32%fair 3.10 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Arda Kardzhali46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
2.54Expected goals
1.13Spartak Varna xG
1.42Arda Kardzhali xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Spartak Varna 1.1 – 1.4 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArda Kardzhali to win ✗46%2.182.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.91
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.421.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.321.22
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Arda Kardzhali / FT Arda Kardzhali ✗26%3.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.25–

Recent results

Spartak Varna – last 6

LLWWLD
30 Oct@ CSKA 19481–6L
24 Oct@ Dunav Ruse0–2L
19 Oct@ Etar Veliko Tarnovo4–2W
10 Oct@ Botev Vratsa1–0W
20 Sepvs Lokomotiv Sofia0–1L
13 Sep@ Slavia Sofia0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Arda Kardzhali – last 6

WDWLLD
2 Novvs Septemvri Sofia2–1W
27 Octvs Levski Sofia1–1D
18 Oct@ Spartak Plovdiv2–1W
12 Oct@ Ludogorets0–5L
2 Oct@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv0–2L
19 Sepvs Cherno More Varna1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Feb 2026Arda Kardzhali v Spartak Varna1–0
Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?

90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance, priced at 1.22.

Who will win Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?

Spartak Varna win 32% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Arda Kardzhali 46%.

How many goals will there be in Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?

Around 2.5 goals on our projection – 45% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?

Our correct-score lean is Spartak Varna 1–1 Arda Kardzhali – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.5.

When is Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?

Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali (First League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.