Championship Kick-off Somerset Park

Ayr Utd v Raith Rovers prediction

Ayr UtdLWWLD
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG1.07 – 1.41
Ayr Utd32%@2.88Draw20%@3.30Raith Rovers48%@2.15
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 00:37 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
74%chance
90Predict pick

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.35Odds 1.30
Rating8/10

Picks by market

ResultRaith Rovers to win48% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%

Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Ayr Utd v Raith Rovers is one of the Championship fixtures we have priced for Saturday 14 November (16:00 WAT, Somerset Park). Going in, Ayr Utd are 7th with 15 points and Raith Rovers 2nd with 25 – one in the lower half, the other inside the top four.

Form guide

Ayr Utd over their last 5: LWWLD Most recently they were beaten by Arbroath 1–4 on the road. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.5, conceding 1.5 per match.

Raith Rovers over their last 5: DDWLD Most recently they shared the points with Dunfermline 0–0 at home. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 0 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.3, conceding 0.7 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (22 Aug 2026): Raith Rovers 2–0 Ayr Utd. Across 2 meetings on record, Ayr Utd have won 0, Raith Rovers 2 and 0 finished level, averaging 2.5 goals.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Ayr Utd 1.1 – 1.4 Raith Rovers in expected goals, roughly 2.5 combined. A middling goal outlook: 47% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Ayr Utd 32%, draw 20%, Raith Rovers 48%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 56% at 1.80.

Verdict

The 90Predict call: Under 3.5 goals (74% chance, priced 1.30). Correct-score lean: Ayr Utd 1–1 Raith Rovers. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ayr Utd32%fair 3.15 · @2.88
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.30
Raith Rovers48%fair 2.09 · @2.15
2.48Expected goals
1.07Ayr Utd xG
1.41Raith Rovers xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%

From our goals model: Ayr Utd 1.1 – 1.4 Raith Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRaith Rovers to win48%2.092.15
Double chanceEither team to win80%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.801.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.401.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.881.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.351.30
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Raith Rovers / FT Raith Rovers26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.24–

Recent results

Ayr Utd – last 6

LWWLDW
7 Nov@ Arbroath1–4L
3 Nov@ Annan Athletic2–0W
31 Octvs Queen's Park3–2W
16 Octvs Partick0–1L
10 Octvs Dunfermline1–1D
3 Oct@ Livingston2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Raith Rovers – last 6

DDWLDW
6 Novvs Dunfermline0–0D
3 Nov@ Hamilton Academical1–1D
31 Oct@ Arbroath4–0W
24 Octvs Inverness CT0–2L
17 Oct@ Stenhousemuir1–1D
10 Octvs Queen's Park2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Raith Rovers v Ayr Utd2–0
27 Mar 2026Raith Rovers v Ayr Utd3–0
Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Partick14842+1128
2Raith Rovers14743+1125
3Dunfermline14671+825
4Stenhousemuir14725023
5Livingston14635+721
6Inverness CT14554+120
7Ayr Utd13436-415
8Arbroath14428-1214
9Morton13418-713
10Queen's Park142111-157

More Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers?

90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance, priced at 1.30.

Who will win Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers?

Ayr Utd win 32% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, Raith Rovers 48%.

How many goals will there be in Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers?

Around 2.5 goals on our projection – 47% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers?

Our correct-score lean is Ayr Utd 1–1 Raith Rovers – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.5.

When is Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers?

Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Somerset Park.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.