Premier League Full time Stadium of Light

Sunderland v Chelsea prediction

1:0
FT xG1.05 – 1.90
ChelseaWDLWW
Sunderland22%@3.75Draw20%@3.75Chelsea58%@1.91
By · Lead analystUpdated 11 Nov 2026, 23:35 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
78%chance
90Predict pick · Lost ✗

Over 1.5 goals

StrongFair 1.29Odds 1.25
Rating9/10
Value

Chelsea to win @ 1.91our chance 58% vs 52% in the price · edge +12%

Picks by market

ResultChelsea to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%

Sunderland vs Chelsea – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

On the 90Predict board for Sunday 8 November: Sunderland host Chelsea in the Premier League at Stadium of Light, kick-off 15:00 (WAT). The standings: Sunderland sit 19th on 8 points after 10 matches (in the drop zone), Chelsea 5th on 16 (in the upper half).

Form guide

Sunderland over their last 5: LLWDD Most recently they were beaten by Dinamo Zagreb 0–2 at home. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Just 0.8 goals per match – chances are not being taken.

Chelsea over their last 5: WDLWW Most recently they got past Manchester United 2–0 at home. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.7, conceding 1.2 per match.

On points per game, Chelsea arrive in better shape – 1.7 against 0.8.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (24 May 2026): Sunderland 2–1 Chelsea.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Sunderland 1.1 – 1.9 Chelsea in expected goals, roughly 3.0 combined. That points to an open contest: over 2.5 comes out at 55% and both teams scoring at 59%.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Sunderland 22%, draw 20%, Chelsea 58%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 59% at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Chelsea to win at 1.91 – we make it 58%, the odds imply 52%.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78% chance, priced 1.25). Correct-score lean: Sunderland 1–1 Chelsea. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sunderland22%fair 4.59 · @3.75
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.75
Chelsea58%fair 1.71 · @1.91
2.96Expected goals
1.05Sunderland xG
1.90Chelsea xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%

From our goals model: Sunderland 1.1 – 1.9 Chelsea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChelsea to win ✗58%1.711.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.681.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.291.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.40
Half-time resultChelsea ahead at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chelsea / FT Chelsea ✗36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Sunderland – last 6

LLWDDL
5 Novvs Dinamo Zagreb0–2L
31 Oct@ Coventry1–3L
28 Octvs Brentford3–2W
25 Octvs Leeds0–0D
22 Oct@ Lech Poznan1–1D
18 Oct@ Bournemouth0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Chelsea – last 6

WDLWWL
31 Octvs Manchester United2–0W
28 Oct@ Liverpool1–1D
24 Octvs Tottenham0–2L
17 Oct@ Everton2–0W
10 Octvs Bournemouth5–1W
18 Sep@ Brentford0–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Sunderland v Chelsea2–1
Sunderland vs Chelsea head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sunderland vs Chelsea?

90Predict goes with Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance, priced at 1.25.

Who will win Sunderland vs Chelsea?

Sunderland win 22% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, Chelsea 58%.

How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Chelsea?

Around 3.0 goals on our projection – 55% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Chelsea?

Our correct-score lean is Sunderland 1–1 Chelsea – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.0.

When is Sunderland vs Chelsea?

Sunderland vs Chelsea (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium of Light.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.