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League Two Kick-off St James Park

Exeter City v Cheltenham prediction

Exeter CityWLWWD
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG1.43 – 1.08
CheltenhamLWLWW
Exeter City48%@2.00Draw21%@3.30Cheltenham32%@3.40
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 00:39 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
74%chance
90Predict pick

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.35Odds 1.28
Rating8/10
Value

Cheltenham to win @ 3.40our chance 32% vs 29% in the price · edge +7%

Picks by market

ResultExeter City to win48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%

Exeter City vs Cheltenham – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

On the 90Predict board for Saturday 14 November: Exeter City host Cheltenham in the League Two at St James Park, kick-off 13:30 (WAT). Going in, Exeter City are 12th with 19 points and Cheltenham 5th with 21 – one in the upper half, the other in the upper half. A gap of just 2 points, so the result shifts the table for both.

Form guide

Exeter City over their last 5: WLWWD Most recently they got past Huddersfield 2–1 on the road. Scoring 1.3, conceding 0.7 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

Cheltenham over their last 5: LWLWW Most recently they were beaten by Oxford United 0–4 on the road. Away from home in that run: 0 wins, 3 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.5, conceding 2.2 per match.

On points per game, Exeter City arrive in better shape – 2.2 against 1.5.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (22 Sep 2026): Cheltenham 2–2 Exeter City.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Exeter City 1.4 – 1.1 Cheltenham in expected goals, roughly 2.5 combined. A middling goal outlook: 47% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Exeter City 48%, draw 21%, Cheltenham 32%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 56% at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Cheltenham to win at 3.40 – we make it 32%, the odds imply 29%.

Verdict

Ade Ola's verdict: Under 3.5 goals (74% chance, priced 1.28). Correct-score lean: Exeter City 1–1 Cheltenham. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Exeter City48%fair 2.09 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.30
Cheltenham32%fair 3.17 · @3.40
2.51Expected goals
1.43Exeter City xG
1.08Cheltenham xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Exeter City 1.4 – 1.1 Cheltenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultExeter City to win48%2.092.00
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.261.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.781.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.871.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.351.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Exeter City / FT Exeter City26%3.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.15–

Recent results

Exeter City – last 6

WLWWDW
7 Nov@ Huddersfield2–1W
31 Oct@ Salford City1–2L
24 Octvs Fleetwood Town2–1W
20 Octvs Crewe2–0W
17 Oct@ Colchester0–0D
10 Oct@ Shrewsbury1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cheltenham – last 6

LWLWWL
10 Nov@ Oxford United0–4L
7 Novvs FC Halifax Town2–0W
31 Oct@ Tranmere1–3L
24 Octvs Newport County1–0W
20 Octvs Fleetwood Town4–2W
17 Oct@ Oldham1–4L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Sep 2026Cheltenham v Exeter City2–2
Exeter City vs Cheltenham head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub
Bristol Rovers Chesterfield Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.8034%X3.4020%22.3046% O1.578%@1.22
Colchester Gillingham Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.1043%X3.3021%23.2036% O1.573%@1.28
Crewe Newport County Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.9556%X3.4022%23.5022% O1.575%@1.25
Port Vale Accrington ST Tip: Port Vale or draw 11.8560%X3.3021%23.9018% 1X82%@1.22
Rochdale York Tip: Both teams to score 14.1022%X4.0018%21.7060% GG63%@1.62
Rotherham Crawley Town Tip: Both teams to score 12.0041%X3.5020%23.2539% GG63%@1.57
Salford City Northampton Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.6761%X3.6019%24.7520% U3.573%@1.33
Shrewsbury Oldham Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.5043%X3.4020%22.5037% O1.575%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Exeter City vs Cheltenham?

90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance, priced at 1.28.

Who will win Exeter City vs Cheltenham?

Exeter City win 48% of the time on our model, the draw 21%, Cheltenham 32%.

How many goals will there be in Exeter City vs Cheltenham?

Around 2.5 goals on our projection – 47% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Exeter City vs Cheltenham?

Our correct-score lean is Exeter City 1–1 Cheltenham – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.5.

When is Exeter City vs Cheltenham?

Exeter City vs Cheltenham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at St James Park.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.