Busko-Zdroj vs Jarosław – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Busko-Zdroj v Jarosław is one of the III Liga Group 4 fixtures we have priced for Sunday 8 November (13:00 WAT). The standings: Busko-Zdroj sit 13th on 17 points after 16 matches (in the lower half), Jarosław 12th on 18 (in the lower half). A gap of just 1 point, so the result shifts the table for both.
Form guide
Busko-Zdroj over their last 5: LLLLW Most recently they were beaten by Chełmianka Chełm 0–3 at home. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.2, conceding 3.0 per match.
Jarosław over their last 5: DLLLL Most recently they shared the points with Czarni Połaniec 2–2 at home. Away from home in that run: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.2, conceding 2.2 per match.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Busko-Zdroj 1.2 – 2.4 Jarosław in expected goals, roughly 3.6 combined. That points to an open contest: over 2.5 comes out at 68% and both teams scoring at 68%. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Busko-Zdroj 20%, draw 14%, Jarosław 66%.
- Both teams to score: yes – 68% at 1.39.
What we called
Ade Ola's pre-match call was Jarosław to win (66% chance, priced 1.64 – longer than our fair 1.52, which makes it a value play). Correct-score lean: Busko-Zdroj 1–2 Jarosław. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
