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Geoje Citizen v Geumsan Insam prediction

2:2
FT xG2.07 – 0.90
Geoje Citizen64%@1.80Draw20%@3.54Geumsan Insam15%@3.54
By · Lead analystUpdated 11 Nov 2026, 23:37 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
64%chance
90Predict pick · Lost ✗

Geoje Citizen to win

GoodFair 1.55Odds 1.80
Rating6/10

Picks by market

ResultGeoje Citizen to win ✗64% · @1.80
Double chanceGeoje Citizen or draw ✓85% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%

Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Kick-off 06:00 WAT on Sunday 8 November: Geoje Citizen take on Geumsan Insam in the .

Form guide

Geoje Citizen over their last 5: LWWWD Most recently they were beaten by Gijang United 1–2 on the road. On home soil in that run: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.8, conceding 0.3 per match. 5 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

Geumsan Insam over their last 5: DWLDD Most recently they shared the points with Sejong SA 2–2 at home. Scoring 1.5, conceding 1.0 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

On points per game, Geoje Citizen arrive in better shape – 2.2 against 1.5.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Geoje Citizen 2.1 – 0.9 Geumsan Insam in expected goals, roughly 3.0 combined. Expect chances at both ends – 57% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Geoje Citizen 64%, draw 20%, Geumsan Insam 15%.
  • Safer cover: Geoje Citizen or draw – 85% at 1.19.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 62% at 1.53.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Geoje Citizen to win (64% chance, priced 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.55, which makes it a value play). Correct-score lean: Geoje Citizen 2–0 Geumsan Insam. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Geoje Citizen64%fair 1.55 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.54
Geumsan Insam15%fair 6.59 · @3.54
2.97Expected goals
2.07Geoje Citizen xG
0.90Geumsan Insam xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Geoje Citizen 2.1 – 0.9 Geumsan Insam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGeoje Citizen to win ✗64%1.551.80 ▲
Double chanceGeoje Citizen or draw ✓85%1.181.19
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.53
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.261.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.741.56
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.571.48
Half-time resultGeoje Citizen ahead at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Geoje Citizen / FT Geoje Citizen ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

Geoje Citizen – last 6

LWWWDW
31 Oct@ Gijang United1–2L
25 Octvs Jungnang Chorus Mustang4–0W
17 Octvs Haman1–0W
11 Octvs Pyeongtaek Citizen3–0W
3 Oct@ Jinju Citizen0–0D
19 Sep@ Jecheon Citizen2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Geumsan Insam – last 6

DWLDDW
31 Octvs Sejong SA2–2D
10 Octvs Namyangju2–0W
13 Sep@ Gijang United1–3L
5 Sepvs Pyeongtaek Citizen0–0D
30 Augvs Jinju Citizen1–1D
23 Aug@ Seosan Pioneer3–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Geoje Citizen and Geumsan Insam.

Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam head-to-head page →

More predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam?

90Predict goes with Geoje Citizen to win – a 64% chance, priced at 1.80.

Who will win Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam?

Geoje Citizen win 64% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, Geumsan Insam 15%.

How many goals will there be in Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam?

Around 3.0 goals on our projection – 57% for over 2.5 and 62% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam?

Our correct-score lean is Geoje Citizen 2–0 Geumsan Insam – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.0.

When is Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam?

Geoje Citizen vs Geumsan Insam () kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.