AOBy Ade Ola · Lead analystUpdated 11 Nov 2026, 22:15 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
75%chance
90Predict pick
Under 3.5 goals
StrongFair 1.33Odds 1.20
Rating8/10
Value
Burgos to win @ 3.36our chance 40% vs 30% in the price · edge +34%
Picks by market
ResultBurgos to win40% · @3.36
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%
Leganes vs Burgos – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Kick-off 20:30 WAT on Friday 13 November: Leganes take on Burgos in the Segunda División, with Municipal de Butarque hosting. The standings: Leganes sit 18th on 12 points after 13 matches (in the lower half), Burgos 3rd on 24 (inside the top four). There are 12 points between them – very different campaigns so far.
Form guide
Leganes over their last 5: WLLDL Most recently they got past Trival Valderas 1–0 on the road. On home soil in that run: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.0, conceding 2.0 per match.
Burgos over their last 5: WDWWW Most recently they got past Celta de Vigo II 2–1 at home. Scoring 1.8, conceding 1.2 per match.
On points per game, Burgos arrive in better shape – 2.2 against 0.7.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Leganes 1.2 – 1.3 Burgos in expected goals, roughly 2.5 combined. A middling goal outlook: 45% for over 2.5, 51% for both teams scoring.
Betting angles
Match result (1X2): Leganes 38%, draw 22%, Burgos 40%.
Both teams to score: yes – 51% at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Burgos to win at 3.36 – we make it 40%, the odds imply 30%.
Verdict
The 90Predict call: Under 3.5 goals (75% chance, priced 1.20). Correct-score lean: Leganes 1–1 Burgos. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leganes38%fair 2.60 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.20
Burgos40%fair 2.51 · @3.36
2.51Expected goals
1.24Leganes xG
1.27Burgos xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Leganes 1.2 – 1.3 Burgos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burgos to win
40%
2.51
3.36 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.96
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burgos / FT Burgos
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.32
–
Recent results
Leganes – last 6
WLLDLL
10 Nov
@ Trival Valderas
1–0
W
7 Nov
vs Albacete
1–3
L
2 Nov
@ Valladolid
3–4
L
24 Oct
vs Mallorca
1–1
D
16 Oct
vs Cordoba
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Almeria
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Burgos – last 6
WDWWWL
7 Nov
vs Celta de Vigo II
2–1
W
1 Nov
vs Castellón
1–1
D
29 Oct
@ Laredo
4–2
W
26 Oct
@ FC Andorra
3–2
W
18 Oct
vs Sabadell
1–0
W
12 Oct
vs Granada CF
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leganes and Burgos.
90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance, priced at 1.20.
Who will win Leganes vs Burgos?
Leganes win 38% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Burgos 40%.
How many goals will there be in Leganes vs Burgos?
Around 2.5 goals on our projection – 45% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Leganes vs Burgos?
Our correct-score lean is Leganes 1–1 Burgos – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.5.
When is Leganes vs Burgos?
Leganes vs Burgos (Segunda División) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Butarque.
Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
