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Primera División RFEF Group 1 Full time Estadio Romano Jose Fouto

Mérida AD v Athletic Club II prediction

Mérida ADLDWWW
2:0
FT xG1.42 – 1.36
Athletic Club IIWLLDL
Mérida AD41%@2.35Draw21%@3.20Athletic Club II38%@2.62
75%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

Over 1.5 goals

StrongFair 1.34Odds 1.28
Rating8/10

Picks by market

ResultMérida AD to win ✓41% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%

Mérida AD v Athletic Club II: preview, numbers and pick

The fixture

Mérida AD and Athletic Club II meet in the Primera División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 8 November, with Estadio Romano Jose Fouto the venue – kick-off 18:15 WAT. In the table, Mérida AD have 16 points from 11 games (8th, in the top half) and Athletic Club II have 15 (9th, in the top half). Only 1 point between them – a result here moves both teams.

Recent form

Mérida AD, last 5 games: LDWWW Their latest: 1–2 away – they lost to Lugo. Home record in that spell: 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is not the issue: 2.0 goals a game. And 3 clean sheets in that run – the defence is holding.

Athletic Club II, last 5 games: WLLDL Their latest: 3–1 at home – they beat Cacereño. Away record in that spell: 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals: 1.5 for and 1.3 against per game.

Mérida AD come in with the stronger run: 1.7 points per game, compared with 1.2.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Athletic Club II 1–1 Mérida AD.

The numbers on goals

90Predict's expected goals: Mérida AD 1.4 – 1.4 Athletic Club II, about 2.8 in total. Middle of the road for goals: 51% over 2.5, 58% both teams to score. Both teams' recent matches lean over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 on our numbers: Mérida AD 41% · draw 21% · Athletic Club II 38%.
  • GG/NG: yes (58%) at 1.80.

What we picked

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Most likely score in our grid: Mérida AD 1–1 Athletic Club II. Settled on the 90-minute score. Our numbers are estimates, not certainties – 18+ only, please bet responsibly.

Result chances

Mérida AD41%fair 2.46 · @2.35
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.20
Athletic Club II38%fair 2.63 · @2.62
2.77Expected goals
1.42Mérida AD xG
1.36Athletic Club II xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–18%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: Mérida AD 1.4 – 1.4 Athletic Club II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMérida AD to win ✓41%2.462.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.741.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.981.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.421.33
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mérida AD / FT Mérida AD ✓23%4.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.77–

Recent results

Mérida AD – last 6

LDWWWL
1 Nov@ Lugo1–2L
25 Octvs CD Coria0–0D
18 Oct@ Arenas Getxo4–0W
11 Oct@ Pontevedra2–1W
4 Octvs Cacereño2–0W
27 Sepvs UD Logroñés3–5L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Athletic Club II – last 6

WLLDLW
31 Octvs Cacereño3–1W
24 Oct@ Unionistas de Salamanca1–2L
18 Oct@ CD Coria1–2L
11 Octvs Real Unión0–0D
4 Octvs Extremadura 19241–3L
26 Sep@ Arenas Getxo3–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Mar 2026Athletic Club II v Mérida AD1–1
Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II head-to-head page →

Primera División RFEF Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lugo11911+1028
2UD Logroñés11722+823
3Pontevedra11533+218
4Real Avilés11524+817
5Mirandes11524+117
6Racing Ferrol11524+117
7Extremadura 192411515+616
8Mérida AD11515+416
9Athletic Club II11434+215
10Cacereño11434015
11Ponferradina11362015
12Barakaldo11353014
13Real Unión11344013
14Cultural Leonesa11344013
15Unionistas de Salamanca11416-513
16Zamora11335-212
17CD Coria11335-312
18Deportivo La Coruña II11326-711
19Arenas Getxo11326-1311
20UD Ourense11227-128

More Primera División RFEF Group 1 predictions

League hub
FT Arenas Getxo2 Deportivo La Coruña II1 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.1545%X3.4020%22.8835% O1.576%@1.25✓
FT Cultural Leonesa1 Ponferradina1 Tip: Under 2.5 goals 12.0546%X3.0022%23.4032% U2.566%@1.50✓
FT Mirandes0 CD Coria2 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.5761%X3.6023%25.2516% O1.575%@1.25✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?

On our numbers Mérida AD have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Athletic Club II 38%.

How many goals will there be in Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?

Our predicted score is Mérida AD 1–1 Athletic Club II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II?

Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Romano Jose Fouto.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.