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Primera División RFEF Group 2 Full time Estadio Enrique Roca

Real Murcia v Algeciras prediction

Real MurciaWLDWL
1:1
FT xG1.83 – 0.67
AlgecirasLWWLW
Real Murcia65%@1.70Draw23%@3.50Algeciras13%@4.10
75%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.33Odds 1.25
Rating8/10
Value

Real Murcia to win @ 1.70our chance 65% vs 59% in the price · edge +10%

Picks by market

ResultReal Murcia to win ✗65% · @1.70
Double chanceReal Murcia or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%

Real Murcia v Algeciras: preview, numbers and pick

The fixture

Next up in the Primera División RFEF Group 2: Real Murcia against Algeciras, Sunday 8 November at 20:30 WAT (Estadio Enrique Roca). In the table, Real Murcia have 20 points from 11 games (3rd, in the top four) and Algeciras have 14 (13th, in the bottom half).

Recent form

Real Murcia, last 5 games: WLDWL Their latest: 1–0 away – they beat Antequera. Only 0.7 goals per game – the attack has stalled. And 4 clean sheets in that run – the defence is holding.

Algeciras, last 5 games: LWWLW Their latest: 2–3 away – they lost to Real Jaén. Away record in that spell: 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals: 1.7 for and 1.0 against per game. And 3 clean sheets in that run – the defence is holding.

The numbers on goals

90Predict's expected goals: Real Murcia 1.8 – 0.7 Algeciras, about 2.5 in total. Middle of the road for goals: 45% over 2.5, 49% both teams to score. Both teams' recent matches lean under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 on our numbers: Real Murcia 65% · draw 23% · Algeciras 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: Real Murcia or draw (87%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: no (51%) at 1.67.
  • Value spot: Real Murcia to win at 1.70 – 65% for us, 59% by the bookmaker.

What we picked

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Most likely score in our grid: Real Murcia 1–0 Algeciras. Settled on the 90-minute score. Our numbers are estimates, not certainties – 18+ only, please bet responsibly.

Result chances

Real Murcia65%fair 1.54 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.50
Algeciras13%fair 7.88 · @4.10
2.50Expected goals
1.83Real Murcia xG
0.67Algeciras xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Real Murcia 1.8 – 0.7 Algeciras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Murcia to win ✗65%1.541.70 ▲
Double chanceReal Murcia or draw ✓87%1.151.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.951.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Half-time resultReal Murcia ahead at half-time ✗46%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Murcia / FT Real Murcia ✗41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.66–

Recent results

Real Murcia – last 6

WLDWLW
1 Nov@ Antequera1–0W
24 Oct@ Juventud Torremolinos0–1L
18 Octvs Zaragoza0–0D
11 Oct@ Rayo Majadahonda1–0W
7 Oct@ FC Cartagena0–1L
4 Octvs Gimnastic2–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Algeciras – last 6

LWWLWW
2 Nov@ Real Jaén2–3L
25 Octvs Real Madrid II2–0W
17 Octvs Hércules2–0W
11 Oct@ Europa Fc1–2L
4 Octvs Rayo Majadahonda1–0W
26 Sep@ Juventud Torremolinos2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia and Algeciras.

Real Murcia vs Algeciras head-to-head page →

Primera División RFEF Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaragoza11731+924
2Villarreal II11641+1122
3Real Murcia11623+420
4Real Jaén11542+419
5Alcorcon11461+918
6Ibiza11533+418
7Hércules11524-117
8FC Cartagena11443+316
9Real Madrid II11443+216
10Huesca11362015
11Gimnastic11434-115
12Antequera11353+214
13Algeciras11425-114
14Sant Andreu11344013
15Atlético Madrid II11254+111
16Europa Fc11317-1110
17Águilas11164-69
18Juventud Torremolinos11155-98
19Rayo Majadahonda11218-77
20Teruel11146-137

More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions

League hub
FT Águilas1 Gimnastic1 Tip: Under 3.5 goals 11.8063%X3.0025%24.1013% U3.576%@1.22✓
FT Europa Fc3 Atlético Madrid II2 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.3535%X3.3020%22.5544% O1.578%@1.22✓
FT Teruel1 Ibiza1 Tip: Under 3.5 goals 13.2028%X3.3020%22.0052% U3.574%@1.28✓
FT Villarreal II1 Juventud Torremolinos1 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.4062%X4.1020%27.0018% O1.579%@1.22✓
FT Real Madrid II2 Hércules2 Tip: Real Madrid II or draw 11.8563%X3.4023%23.6014% 1X86%@1.22✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Murcia vs Algeciras?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Real Murcia vs Algeciras?

On our numbers Real Murcia have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Algeciras 13%.

How many goals will there be in Real Murcia vs Algeciras?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Murcia vs Algeciras?

Our predicted score is Real Murcia 1–0 Algeciras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Real Murcia vs Algeciras?

Real Murcia vs Algeciras (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Enrique Roca.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.