Value bet: Compostela to win @ 2.61 – our chance 46% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCompostela to win ✓46% · @2.61
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.96
Arosa v Compostela: preview, numbers and pick
The fixture
Next up in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1: Arosa against Compostela, Sunday 8 November at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Arosa have 8 points from 10 games (15th, in the bottom half) and Compostela have 17 (5th, in the top half).
Recent form
Arosa, last 5 games: DWLWD Their latest: 3–3 away – they drew with Portugalete. Home record in that spell: 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals: 1.8 for and 1.2 against per game.
Compostela, last 5 games: DWWWL Their latest: 0–0 at home – they drew with Basconia. Away record in that spell: 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals: 1.5 for and 0.8 against per game.
The numbers on goals
90Predict' expected goals: Arosa 1.2 – 1.5 Compostela, about 2.8 in total. Middle of the road for goals: 51% over 2.5, 59% both teams to score.
Value spot: Compostela to win at 2.61 – 46% for us, 38% by the bookmaker.
What we picked
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.26. Most likely score in our grid: Arosa 1–1 Compostela. Settled on the 90-minute score. Our numbers are estimates, not certainties – 18+ only, please bet responsibly.
Result chances
Arosa32%fair 3.09 · @2.43
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.10
Compostela46%fair 2.17 · @2.61
2.77Expected goals
1.24Arosa xG
1.54Compostela xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Arosa 1.2 – 1.5 Compostela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Compostela to win✓
46%
2.17
2.61 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.69
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.88
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Compostela / FT Compostela✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.96
–
Recent results
Arosa – last 6
DWLWDD
1 Nov
@ Portugalete
3–3
D
27 Oct
vs Pontevedra
2–0
W
24 Oct
@ Sestao River
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Llanera
4–1
W
11 Oct
vs Bergantiños
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Ourense CF
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Compostela – last 6
DWWWLL
1 Nov
vs Basconia
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Llanera
3–1
W
17 Oct
vs Atlético Astorga
4–1
W
11 Oct
@ Coruxo
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Real Oviedo II
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Eibar II
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arosa and Compostela.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Arosa vs Compostela?
On our numbers Arosa have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Compostela 46%.
How many goals will there be in Arosa vs Compostela?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arosa vs Compostela?
Our predicted score is Arosa 1–1 Compostela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Arosa vs Compostela?
Arosa vs Compostela (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from 90Predict' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
