AOBy Ade Ola · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 03:46 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
75%chance
90Predict pick
Under 3.5 goals
StrongFair 1.33Odds 1.24
Rating8/10
Value
Compostela to win @ 2.18our chance 49% vs 46% in the price · edge +7%
Picks by market
ResultCompostela to win49% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win83% · @1.24
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012%
Compostela vs Ourense CF – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Segunda División RFEF Group 1 action on Sunday 15 November sees Ourense CF travel to face Compostela – the whistle goes at 17:00 WAT. Going in, Compostela are 5th with 17 points and Ourense CF 10th with 14 – one in the upper half, the other in the lower half. A gap of just 3 points, so the result shifts the table for both.
Form guide
Compostela over their last 5: WDWWW Most recently they got past Arosa 2–1 on the road. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.8, conceding 0.8 per match.
Ourense CF over their last 5: LDWLL Most recently they were beaten by Portugalete 0–3 at home. Just 0.7 goals per match – chances are not being taken.
On points per game, Compostela arrive in better shape – 2.2 against 0.8.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Compostela 1.4 – 1.1 Ourense CF in expected goals, roughly 2.4 combined. A middling goal outlook: 45% for over 2.5, 48% for both teams scoring.
Betting angles
Match result (1X2): Compostela 49%, draw 17%, Ourense CF 34%.
Both teams to score: no – 52% at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Compostela to win at 2.18 – we make it 49%, the odds imply 46%.
Verdict
Ade Ola's verdict: Under 3.5 goals (75% chance, priced 1.24). Correct-score lean: Compostela 1–1 Ourense CF. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
Result chances
Compostela49%fair 2.04 · @2.18
Draw17%fair 6.01 · @3.24
Ourense CF34%fair 2.90 · @2.85
2.41Expected goals
1.35Compostela xG
1.05Ourense CF xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Compostela 1.4 – 1.1 Ourense CF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Compostela to win
49%
2.04
2.18 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
83%
1.20
1.24
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
52%
1.93
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.24
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Compostela / FT Compostela
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
12%
8.19
–
Recent results
Compostela – last 6
WDWWWL
8 Nov
@ Arosa
2–1
W
1 Nov
vs Basconia
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Llanera
3–1
W
17 Oct
vs Atlético Astorga
4–1
W
11 Oct
@ Coruxo
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Real Oviedo II
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ourense CF – last 6
LDWLLD
8 Nov
vs Portugalete
0–3
L
1 Nov
@ Bergantiños
1–1
D
25 Oct
vs Gimnástica Torrelavega
3–0
W
17 Oct
vs Coruxo
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Atlético Astorga
0–4
L
4 Oct
vs Arosa
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Compostela and Ourense CF.
What is the prediction for Compostela vs Ourense CF?
90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance, priced at 1.24.
Who will win Compostela vs Ourense CF?
Compostela win 49% of the time on our model, the draw 17%, Ourense CF 34%.
How many goals will there be in Compostela vs Ourense CF?
Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 45% for over 2.5 and 48% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Compostela vs Ourense CF?
Our correct-score lean is Compostela 1–1 Ourense CF – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.4.
When is Compostela vs Ourense CF?
Compostela vs Ourense CF (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
