Calamocha vs Reddis – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Calamocha v Reddis is one of the Segunda División RFEF Group 2 fixtures we have priced for Sunday 15 November (16:00 WAT, Municipal de Tarazona). The standings: Calamocha sit 18th on 5 points after 10 matches (in the drop zone), Reddis 9th on 14 (in the upper half).
Form guide
Calamocha over their last 5: LLLDD Most recently they were beaten by SD Logroñés 0–1 on the road. On home soil in that run: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. Just 0.3 goals per match – chances are not being taken.
Reddis over their last 5: WLDDW Most recently they got past UD Logroñés II 1–0 at home. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.3, conceding 1.5 per match.
On points per game, Reddis arrive in better shape – 1.3 against 0.3.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Calamocha 0.9 – 1.6 Reddis in expected goals, roughly 2.5 combined. A middling goal outlook: 47% for over 2.5, 47% for both teams scoring.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Calamocha 24%, draw 16%, Reddis 60%.
- Both teams to score: no – 53% at 1.85.
Verdict
We are going with Under 3.5 goals (74% chance, priced 1.26). Correct-score lean: Calamocha 0–1 Reddis. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
