Castellonense vs Alcoyano – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Kick-off 11:45 WAT on Sunday 8 November: Castellonense take on Alcoyano in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3. Going in, Castellonense are 4th with 16 points and Alcoyano 7th with 14 – one inside the top four, the other in the upper half. A gap of just 2 points, so the result shifts the table for both.
Form guide
Castellonense over their last 5: DDWLW Most recently they shared the points with Valencia II 1–1 on the road. Scoring 1.3, conceding 0.8 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
Alcoyano over their last 5: DLLWW Most recently they shared the points with Real Murcia II 1–1 at home. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.0, conceding 0.8 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Castellonense 1.2 – 1.1 Alcoyano in expected goals, roughly 2.3 combined. A middling goal outlook: 41% for over 2.5, 53% for both teams scoring. Recent games for both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Castellonense 44%, draw 22%, Alcoyano 34%.
- Both teams to score: yes – 53% at 1.92.
- Price worth noting: Castellonense to win at 2.69 – we make it 44%, the odds imply 37%.
What we called
Ade Ola's pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66% chance, priced 1.37). Correct-score lean: Castellonense 1–1 Alcoyano. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
