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First League Kick-off Fisht Olympic Stadium

FC Sochi v Shinnik Yaroslavl prediction

FC SochiLLWWW
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG1.86 – 0.77
Shinnik YaroslavlWLWDL
FC Sochi64%@1.64Draw20%@3.72Shinnik Yaroslavl16%@4.80
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 02:11 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
73%chance
90Predict pick

Over 1.5 goals

StrongFair 1.36Odds 1.24
Rating8/10

Picks by market

ResultFC Sochi to win64% · @1.64
Double chanceFC Sochi or draw84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%

FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

First League action on Saturday 14 November sees Shinnik Yaroslavl travel to face FC Sochi at Fisht Olympic Stadium – the whistle goes at 00:00 WAT. The standings: FC Sochi sit 4th on 32 points after 17 matches (inside the top four), Shinnik Yaroslavl 7th on 26 (in the upper half).

Form guide

FC Sochi over their last 5: LLWWW Most recently they were beaten by Enisey 0–3 on the road. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.0, conceding 1.2 per match.

Shinnik Yaroslavl over their last 5: WLWDL Most recently they got past FC UFA 2–1 at home. Away from home in that run: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.2, conceding 1.5 per match.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (12 Jul 2026): Shinnik Yaroslavl 2–2 FC Sochi.

Goal forecast

Our model projects FC Sochi 1.9 – 0.8 Shinnik Yaroslavl in expected goals, roughly 2.6 combined. A middling goal outlook: 50% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): FC Sochi 64%, draw 20%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 16%.
  • Safer cover: FC Sochi or draw – 84% at 1.14.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 52% at 1.82.

Verdict

Ade Ola's verdict: Over 1.5 goals (73% chance, priced 1.24). Correct-score lean: FC Sochi 2–0 Shinnik Yaroslavl. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Sochi64%fair 1.56 · @1.64
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.72
Shinnik Yaroslavl16%fair 6.35 · @4.80
2.63Expected goals
1.86FC Sochi xG
0.77Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: FC Sochi 1.9 – 0.8 Shinnik Yaroslavl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Sochi to win64%1.561.64
Double chanceFC Sochi or draw84%1.191.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.941.82
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals73%1.361.24
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals50%1.981.88
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals71%1.401.30
Half-time resultFC Sochi ahead at half-time45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Sochi / FT FC Sochi40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.42–

Recent results

FC Sochi – last 6

LLWWWD
7 Nov@ Enisey0–3L
1 Novvs Ural0–2L
24 Oct@ Tekstilshchik3–1W
16 Oct@ Rotor Volgograd1–0W
11 Octvs FC UFA1–0W
18 Sepvs Ska-khabarovsk1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6

WLWDLW
7 Novvs FC UFA2–1W
31 Oct@ Chelyabinsk0–2L
26 Octvs Spartak Kostroma2–1W
18 Oct@ Veles1–1D
14 Oct@ Nizhny Novgorod0–4L
10 Octvs Tekstilshchik2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Jul 2026Shinnik Yaroslavl v FC Sochi2–2
FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League hub
Ska-khabarovsk Leningradets Tip: Ska-khabarovsk to win 11.8064%X3.5024%24.1012% 164%@1.80
FC UFA Spartak Kostroma Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.3243%X3.0822%23.0235% O1.565%@1.40
Volga Ulyanovsk Torpedo Moskva Tip: Torpedo Moskva or draw 13.7017%X3.3222%21.9461% X283%@1.23

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

90Predict goes with Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance, priced at 1.24.

Who will win FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

FC Sochi win 64% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, Shinnik Yaroslavl 16%.

How many goals will there be in FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

Around 2.6 goals on our projection – 50% for over 2.5 and 52% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

Our correct-score lean is FC Sochi 2–0 Shinnik Yaroslavl – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.6.

When is FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?

FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (First League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Fisht Olympic Stadium.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.