Hamburger SV W vs Mainz 05 W – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Kick-off 18:30 WAT on Friday 13 November: Hamburger SV W take on Mainz 05 W in the Frauen Bundesliga, with Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage hosting. Going in, Hamburger SV W are 13th with 6 points and Mainz 05 W 14th with 0 – one in the drop zone, the other in the drop zone.
Form guide
Hamburger SV W over their last 5: LDDLL Most recently they were beaten by Bayer Leverkusen W 0–2 on the road. Scoring 1.8, conceding 2.5 per match.
Mainz 05 W over their last 5: LDLLL Most recently they were beaten by Stuttgart W 1–3 at home. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.3, conceding 2.8 per match.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Hamburger SV W 2.2 – 1.2 Mainz 05 W in expected goals, roughly 3.4 combined. Expect chances at both ends – 64% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Hamburger SV W 64%, draw 15%, Mainz 05 W 21%.
- Both teams to score: yes – 57% at 1.53.
Verdict
We are going with Hamburger SV W to win (64% chance, priced 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.57, which makes it a value play). Correct-score lean: Hamburger SV W 2–1 Mainz 05 W. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
