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Pacos Ferreira v Trofense prediction

Pacos FerreiraLWWDD
4:3
FT xG1.82 – 0.66
TrofenseLLDLD
Pacos Ferreira63%@1.69Draw25%@3.30Trofense12%@4.40
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 01:51 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
75%chance
90Predict pick · Lost ✗

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.33Odds 1.22
Rating8/10
Value

Pacos Ferreira to win @ 1.69our chance 63% vs 59% in the price · edge +7%

Picks by market

ResultPacos Ferreira to win ✓63% · @1.69
Double chancePacos Ferreira or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%

Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Kick-off 21:00 WAT on Sunday 8 November: Pacos Ferreira take on Trofense in the Liga 3. The standings: Pacos Ferreira sit 8th on 11 points after 9 matches (in the upper half), Trofense 10th on 5 (in the upper half).

Form guide

Pacos Ferreira over their last 5: LWWDD Most recently they were beaten by Fafe 1–3 on the road. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 0 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.0, conceding 1.0 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

Trofense over their last 5: LLDLD Most recently they were beaten by AD Marco 09 0–2 at home. Away from home in that run: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 4. Just 0.7 goals per match – chances are not being taken.

On points per game, Pacos Ferreira arrive in better shape – 1.5 against 0.3.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Pacos Ferreira 1.8 – 0.7 Trofense in expected goals, roughly 2.5 combined. A middling goal outlook: 45% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Pacos Ferreira 63%, draw 25%, Trofense 12%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 54% at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Pacos Ferreira to win at 1.69 – we make it 63%, the odds imply 59%.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75% chance, priced 1.22). Correct-score lean: Pacos Ferreira 1–0 Trofense. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pacos Ferreira63%fair 1.58 · @1.69
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.30
Trofense12%fair 8.69 · @4.40
2.48Expected goals
1.82Pacos Ferreira xG
0.66Trofense xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%

From our goals model: Pacos Ferreira 1.8 – 0.7 Trofense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPacos Ferreira to win ✓63%1.581.69 ▲
Double chancePacos Ferreira or draw ✓88%1.131.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.93
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.66
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.331.22
Half-time resultPacos Ferreira ahead at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pacos Ferreira / FT Pacos Ferreira ✓41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.90–

Recent results

Pacos Ferreira – last 6

LWWDDD
30 Oct@ Fafe1–3L
23 Octvs Leça1–0W
11 Oct@ Guimaraes B1–0W
13 Sepvs São João Ver1–1D
5 Sep@ Vianense2–2D
29 Augvs Fafe0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Trofense – last 6

LLDLDL
31 Octvs AD Marco 090–2L
24 Oct@ Paredes0–4L
11 Oct@ Fafe2–2D
12 Sepvs Leça1–4L
5 Sep@ Guimaraes B0–0D
29 Aug@ Varzim1–5L
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Pacos Ferreira and Trofense.

Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

League hub
FT Louletano2 SC Covilha0 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 11.9945%X3.0522%23.4233% O1.567%@1.36✓
FT Varzim2 Fafe0 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.4233%X3.0222%22.6545% O1.570%@1.32✓
FT Vitória de Sernache0 Atlético CP1 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 13.6826%X3.0622%21.9652% O1.570%@1.33✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?

90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance, priced at 1.22.

Who will win Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?

Pacos Ferreira win 63% of the time on our model, the draw 25%, Trofense 12%.

How many goals will there be in Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?

Around 2.5 goals on our projection – 45% for over 2.5 and 54% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?

Our correct-score lean is Pacos Ferreira 1–0 Trofense – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.5.

When is Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?

Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.