Thai League 1 Full time True BG Stadium

BG Pathum United v Rayong FC prediction

3:0
FT xG2.16 – 0.79
BG Pathum United67%@1.46Draw23%@4.10Rayong FC10%@5.20
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 01:44 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
67%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

BG Pathum United to win

GoodFair 1.49Odds 1.46
Rating6/10

Picks by market

ResultBG Pathum United to win ✓67% · @1.46
Double chanceBG Pathum United or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%

BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Kick-off 12:00 WAT on Sunday 8 November: BG Pathum United take on Rayong FC in the Thai League 1, with True BG Stadium hosting. The standings: BG Pathum United sit 7th on 12 points after 8 matches (in the upper half), Rayong FC 12th on 8 (in the lower half).

Form guide

BG Pathum United over their last 5: WLWWL Most recently they got past Wofoo Tai Po 4–1 at home. Scoring 1.7, conceding 0.7 per match.

Rayong FC over their last 5: LLWDL Most recently they were beaten by Lamphun Warrior 0–4 at home. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.2, conceding 2.3 per match.

On points per game, BG Pathum United arrive in better shape – 1.7 against 0.8.

Goal forecast

Our model projects BG Pathum United 2.2 – 0.8 Rayong FC in expected goals, roughly 3.0 combined. That points to an open contest: over 2.5 comes out at 57% and both teams scoring at 57%.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): BG Pathum United 67%, draw 23%, Rayong FC 10%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 57% at 1.69.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was BG Pathum United to win (67% chance, priced 1.46). Correct-score lean: BG Pathum United 2–0 Rayong FC. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

BG Pathum United67%fair 1.49 · @1.46
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.10
Rayong FC10%fair 9.57 · @5.20
2.95Expected goals
2.16BG Pathum United xG
0.79Rayong FC xG
57%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%

From our goals model: BG Pathum United 2.2 – 0.8 Rayong FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBG Pathum United to win ✓67%1.491.46
Double chanceBG Pathum United or draw ✓90%1.121.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.741.69
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.61
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.541.41
Half-time resultBG Pathum United ahead at half-time ✓50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT BG Pathum United / FT BG Pathum United ✓45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.37–

Recent results

BG Pathum United – last 6

WLWWLD
5 Novvs Wofoo Tai Po4–1W
2 Nov@ Chonburi FC0–1L
29 Oct@ Wofoo Tai Po3–0W
24 Octvs Chiangrai United2–0W
21 Oct@ Khon Kaen United0–1L
18 Oct@ Sisaket United1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Rayong FC – last 6

LLWDLD
1 Novvs Lamphun Warrior0–4L
24 Oct@ Port FC1–4L
21 Oct@ Thap Luang United2–1W
17 Octvs Uthai Thani1–1D
10 Oct@ Buriram United2–3L
20 Sepvs Ratchaburi1–1D
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between BG Pathum United and Rayong FC.

BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC head-to-head page →

Thai League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Port FC7511+716
2Bangkok United8512+716
3Ayutthaya FC8512+616
4Prachuap7511+616
5Buriram United7511+516
6Ratchaburi8413+813
7BG Pathum United8332+412
8Uthai Thani8323+211
9Lamphun Warrior8323+211
10Sisaket United8314-410
11Sukhothai FC8314-610
12Rayong FC8224-98
13Chonburi FC8215-37
14Pattani8215-67
15Chiangrai United7124-45
16Rasi Salai United8017-151

More Thai League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC?

90Predict goes with BG Pathum United to win – a 67% chance, priced at 1.46.

Who will win BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC?

BG Pathum United win 67% of the time on our model, the draw 23%, Rayong FC 10%.

How many goals will there be in BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC?

Around 3.0 goals on our projection – 57% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC?

Our correct-score lean is BG Pathum United 2–0 Rayong FC – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.0.

When is BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC?

BG Pathum United vs Rayong FC (Thai League 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at True BG Stadium.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.