Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Fuerte San Francisco v Alianza is one of the Primera Division fixtures we have priced for Wednesday 11 November (22:30 WAT). The standings: Fuerte San Francisco sit 12th on 14 points after 20 matches (in the drop zone), Alianza 7th on 26 (in the lower half). There are 12 points between them – very different campaigns so far.
Form guide
Fuerte San Francisco over their last 5: DDLLL Most recently they shared the points with FAS 2–2 on the road. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.8, conceding 2.2 per match.
Alianza over their last 5: WLLDW Most recently they got past Águila 3–2 at home. Away from home in that run: 0 wins, 3 defeats in 3. Just 0.8 goals per match – chances are not being taken.
Past meetings
Last time out between these two (24 Sep 2026): Alianza 2–2 Fuerte San Francisco. Across 3 meetings on record, Fuerte San Francisco have won 0, Alianza 2 and 1 finished level, averaging 3.3 goals – both teams found the net in 2 of them.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Fuerte San Francisco 1.0 – 1.7 Alianza in expected goals, roughly 2.7 combined. A middling goal outlook: 49% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams scoring.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Fuerte San Francisco 23%, draw 20%, Alianza 57%.
- Both teams to score: yes – 56% at 1.75.
What we called
Ade Ola's pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73% chance, priced 1.25). Correct-score lean: Fuerte San Francisco 1–1 Alianza. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
