Florgrade v Ovarense prediction

1:3
FT xG0.96 – 1.42
Florgrade28%@3.32Draw23%@2.94Ovarense50%@2.08
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 01:00 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
76%chance
90Predict pick · Lost ✗

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.31Odds 1.22
Rating8/10

Picks by market

ResultOvarense to win ✓50% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.78
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%

Florgrade vs Ovarense – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Florgrade v Ovarense is one of the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B fixtures we have priced for Sunday 8 November (16:00 WAT). Going in, Florgrade are 7th with 11 points and Ovarense 1st with 22 – one in the upper half, the other leading the way.

Form guide

Florgrade over their last 5: DWLLW Most recently they shared the points with Castro Daire 1–1 on the road. On home soil in that run: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.2, conceding 1.2 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

Ovarense over their last 5: WWDLW Most recently they got past Alpendorada 2–1 at home. Scoring 1.8, conceding 0.7 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Florgrade 1.0 – 1.4 Ovarense in expected goals, roughly 2.4 combined. A middling goal outlook: 44% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Florgrade 28%, draw 23%, Ovarense 50%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 57% at 1.78.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76% chance, priced 1.22). Correct-score lean: Florgrade 0–1 Ovarense. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Florgrade28%fair 3.62 · @3.32
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @2.94
Ovarense50%fair 2.02 · @2.08
2.38Expected goals
0.96Florgrade xG
1.42Ovarense xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–113%
0–29%
0–09%
1–29%
1–09%

From our goals model: Florgrade 1.0 – 1.4 Ovarense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOvarense to win ✓50%2.022.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.771.78
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.68
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.311.22
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ovarense / FT Ovarense ✗28%3.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.18–

Recent results

Florgrade – last 6

DWLLWW
1 Nov@ Castro Daire1–1D
25 Octvs Cinfães2–0W
17 Octvs Portimonense1–2L
10 Oct@ Machico0–4L
27 Sep@ Camacha1–0W
13 Sepvs Sanjoanense2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ovarense – last 6

WWDLWW
1 Novvs Alpendorada2–1W
25 Oct@ Salgueiros2–0W
11 Octvs Beira-Mar2–2D
20 Sepvs Os Marialvas0–1L
13 Sep@ Estrela Calheta3–0W
6 Sepvs Sousense2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Florgrade and Ovarense.

Florgrade vs Ovarense head-to-head page →

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ovarense8710+1322
2Machico8440+816
3Camacha7430+615
4Castro Daire8341+413
5Sanjoanense8332+112
6Salgueiros8251011
7Florgrade8323-211
8União Lamas8233-39
9Beira-Mar8071-27
10Cinfães7133-26
11Estrela Calheta8134-66
12Alpendorada7124-45
13Guarda8116-64
14Sousense7034-73

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Florgrade vs Ovarense?

90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance, priced at 1.22.

Who will win Florgrade vs Ovarense?

Florgrade win 28% of the time on our model, the draw 23%, Ovarense 50%.

How many goals will there be in Florgrade vs Ovarense?

Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 44% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Florgrade vs Ovarense?

Our correct-score lean is Florgrade 0–1 Ovarense – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.4.

When is Florgrade vs Ovarense?

Florgrade vs Ovarense (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.