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Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C Full time

Benfica Castelo Branco v Os Marialvas prediction

Benfica Castelo BrancoDLWLW
0:3
FT xG0.87 – 1.84
Os MarialvasWWLDW
Benfica Castelo Branco16%@3.58Draw24%@3.14Os Marialvas59%@1.91
73%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

Over 1.5 goals

StrongFair 1.37Odds 1.27
Rating8/10
Value

Os Marialvas to win @ 1.91our chance 59% vs 52% in the price · edge +14%

Picks by market

ResultOs Marialvas to win ✓59% · @1.91
Double chanceOs Marialvas or draw ✓84% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%

Benfica Castelo Branco v Os Marialvas: preview, numbers and pick

The fixture

Benfica Castelo Branco and Os Marialvas meet in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C on Sunday 8 November – kick-off 16:00 WAT. In the table, Benfica Castelo Branco have 10 points from 8 games (8th, in the bottom half) and Os Marialvas have 19 (1st, top of the table).

Recent form

Benfica Castelo Branco, last 5 games: DLWLW Their latest: 2–2 away – they drew with Atlético Malveira. Goals: 1.3 for and 1.8 against per game.

Os Marialvas, last 5 games: WWLDW Their latest: 2–1 at home – they beat UD da Serra. Away record in that spell: 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals: 1.5 for and 0.7 against per game. And 3 clean sheets in that run – the defence is holding.

Os Marialvas come in with the stronger run: 2.2 points per game, compared with 1.2.

The numbers on goals

90Predict's expected goals: Benfica Castelo Branco 0.9 – 1.8 Os Marialvas, about 2.7 in total. Middle of the road for goals: 49% over 2.5, 57% both teams to score. Both teams' recent matches lean over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 on our numbers: Benfica Castelo Branco 16% · draw 24% · Os Marialvas 59%.
  • Lower-risk option: Os Marialvas or draw (84%) at 1.19.
  • GG/NG: yes (57%) at 1.78.
  • Value spot: Os Marialvas to win at 1.91 – 59% for us, 52% by the bookmaker.

What we picked

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.27. Most likely score in our grid: Benfica Castelo Branco 0–2 Os Marialvas. Settled on the 90-minute score. Our numbers are estimates, not certainties – 18+ only, please bet responsibly.

Result chances

Benfica Castelo Branco16%fair 6.10 · @3.58
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.14
Os Marialvas59%fair 1.68 · @1.91
2.70Expected goals
0.87Benfica Castelo Branco xG
1.84Os Marialvas xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%

From our goals model: Benfica Castelo Branco 0.9 – 1.8 Os Marialvas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOs Marialvas to win ✓59%1.681.91 ▲
Double chanceOs Marialvas or draw ✓84%1.201.19
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.78
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.27
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.24
Half-time resultOs Marialvas ahead at half-time ✓43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Os Marialvas / FT Os Marialvas ✓38%2.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.21–

Recent results

Benfica Castelo Branco – last 6

DLWLWL
1 Nov@ Atlético Malveira2–2D
25 Octvs O Elvas1–3L
11 Oct@ Mortágua1–0W
13 Sepvs AD Nogueirense2–3L
6 Sep@ FC Alverca II1–0W
29 Aug@ Fátima1–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Os Marialvas – last 6

WWLDWW
1 Novvs UD da Serra2–1W
25 Oct@ Fazendense2–1W
16 Oct@ Chaves1–2L
11 Octvs Sertanense0–0D
20 Sep@ Ovarense1–0W
13 Sep@ Nazarenos3–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Benfica Castelo Branco and Os Marialvas.

Benfica Castelo Branco vs Os Marialvas head-to-head page →

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Os Marialvas8611+1119
2Oliveira Hospital8521+517
3O Elvas8512+516
4Mortágua8431+615
5Atlético Malveira8332+112
6UD da Serra8332+112
7Fátima8323+511
8Benfica Castelo Branco8314-610
9FC Alverca II8314+510
10AD Nogueirense8161-29
11Nazarenos8224-68
12Naval 18938215-47
13Sertanense8053-55
14Fazendense8017-161

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C predictions

League hub
FT FC Alverca II3 O Elvas1 Tip: Under 3.5 goals 12.7238%X3.0822%22.3341% U3.574%@1.24✗
FT Fazendense2 Nazarenos3 Tip: Both teams to score 12.4437%X3.3220%22.4342% GG62%@1.57✓
FT Naval 18930 Atlético Malveira2 Tip: Under 3.5 goals 12.1339%X3.1022%23.0440% U3.574%@1.23✓
FT AD Nogueirense0 Mortágua0 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.5634%X2.8623%22.6243% O1.569%@1.38✗
FT Sertanense1 Oliveira Hospital2 Tip: Oliveira Hospital to win 13.6815%X3.2024%21.8661% 261%@1.86✓
FT UD da Serra1 Fátima2 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.4544%X3.1821%22.5135% O1.574%@1.27✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Benfica Castelo Branco vs Os Marialvas?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.

Who will win Benfica Castelo Branco vs Os Marialvas?

On our numbers Benfica Castelo Branco have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Os Marialvas 59%.

How many goals will there be in Benfica Castelo Branco vs Os Marialvas?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Benfica Castelo Branco vs Os Marialvas?

Our predicted score is Benfica Castelo Branco 0–2 Os Marialvas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Benfica Castelo Branco vs Os Marialvas?

Benfica Castelo Branco vs Os Marialvas (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.