Treviso vs Novara – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
On the 90Predict board for Sunday 8 November: Treviso host Novara in the Serie C Girone A, kick-off 17:30 (WAT). The standings: Treviso sit 5th on 22 points after 13 matches (in the upper half), Novara 14th on 13 (in the lower half).
Form guide
Treviso over their last 5: LWWLD Most recently they were beaten by Cittadella 0–1 on the road. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Just 0.8 goals per match – chances are not being taken. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
Novara over their last 5: WLDLW Most recently they got past Desenzano Calvina 1–0 at home. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Just 0.8 goals per match – chances are not being taken.
On points per game, Treviso arrive in better shape – 1.7 against 1.2.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Treviso 1.6 – 0.7 Novara in expected goals, roughly 2.3 combined. A middling goal outlook: 43% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams scoring. Recent games for both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Treviso 61%, draw 19%, Novara 21%.
- Both teams to score: yes – 54% at 2.00.
- Price worth noting: Both teams to score at 2.00 – we make it 54%, the odds imply 50%.
What we called
Ade Ola's pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78% chance, priced 1.25). Correct-score lean: Treviso 1–0 Novara. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
