Spezia vs Vado – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Spezia v Vado is one of the Serie C Girone B fixtures we have priced for Sunday 15 November (14:30 WAT, Stadio Alberto Picco). The standings: Spezia sit 1st on 35 points after 13 matches (leading the way), Vado 13th on 16 (in the lower half). There are 19 points between them – very different campaigns so far.
Form guide
Spezia over their last 5: WWWDW Most recently they got past Ostia Mare 4–0 on the road. On home soil in that run: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 4. Averaging 2.0 goals a match – the front line is in form. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
Vado over their last 5: LDWDW Most recently they were beaten by Ravenna 1–3 at home. Scoring 1.7, conceding 1.3 per match.
On points per game, Spezia arrive in better shape – 2.7 against 1.8.
Past meetings
Last time out between these two (2 Sep 2026): Spezia 3–0 Vado.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Spezia 1.9 – 0.9 Vado in expected goals, roughly 2.8 combined. A middling goal outlook: 55% for over 2.5, 48% for both teams scoring.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Spezia 64%, draw 13%, Vado 23%.
- Both teams to score: no – 52% at 1.67.
Verdict
We are going with Over 1.5 goals (77% chance, priced 1.20). Correct-score lean: Spezia 2–0 Vado. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.



















