Foggia vs Savoia – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Foggia v Savoia is one of the Serie C Girone C fixtures we have priced for Tuesday 15 September (20:00 WAT, Stadio Pino Zaccheria). The standings: Foggia sit 16th on 15 points after 13 matches (in the lower half), Savoia 18th on 12 (in the drop zone). A gap of just 3 points, so the result shifts the table for both.
Form guide
Foggia over their last 5: LLDWL Most recently they were beaten by SS Monopoli 0–1 on the road. On home soil in that run: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. Just 0.5 goals per match – chances are not being taken.
Savoia over their last 5: DWWLL Most recently they shared the points with Crotone 1–1 at home. Away from home in that run: 3 wins, 1 defeat in 4. Scoring 1.8, conceding 1.2 per match.
On points per game, Savoia arrive in better shape – 1.7 against 0.7.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Foggia 1.7 – 0.6 Savoia in expected goals, roughly 2.3 combined. A middling goal outlook: 39% for over 2.5, 51% for both teams scoring.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Foggia 66%, draw 21%, Savoia 13%.
- Safer cover: Foggia or draw – 87% at 1.18.
- Both teams to score: yes – 51% at 1.75.
What we called
Ade Ola's pre-match call was Foggia to win (66% chance, priced 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.52, which makes it a value play). Correct-score lean: Foggia 1–0 Savoia. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
