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Tigre Res. v Vélez Sársfield Res. prediction

0:1
FT xG0.75 – 1.77
Tigre Res.15%@5.40Draw24%@3.76Vélez Sársfield Res.61%@1.49
73%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.37Odds 1.27
Rating8/10

Picks by market

ResultVélez Sársfield Res. to win ✓61% · @1.49
Double chanceVélez Sársfield Res. or draw ✓85% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%

Tigre Res. v Vélez Sársfield Res.: preview, numbers and pick

The fixture

Tigre Res. and Vélez Sársfield Res. meet in the Reserve League on Tuesday 10 November – kick-off 19:00 WAT. In the table, Tigre Res. have 15 points from 17 games (32nd, in the bottom half) and Vélez Sársfield Res. have 33 (3rd, in the top four). The 18-point gap says a lot about the two seasons so far.

Recent form

Tigre Res., last 5 games: LLDLL Their latest: 1–2 away – they lost to River Plate Res.. Home record in that spell: 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Only 0.8 goals per game – the attack has stalled.

Vélez Sársfield Res., last 5 games: WWDWW Their latest: 2–0 at home – they beat San Lorenzo Res.. Away record in that spell: 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals: 1.8 for and 0.3 against per game. And 4 clean sheets in that run – the defence is holding.

Vélez Sársfield Res. come in with the stronger run: 2.3 points per game, compared with 0.7.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Jun 2026) it ended Vélez Sársfield Res. 2–0 Tigre Res..

The numbers on goals

90Predict's expected goals: Tigre Res. 0.8 – 1.8 Vélez Sársfield Res., about 2.5 in total. Middle of the road for goals: 48% over 2.5, 51% both teams to score.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 on our numbers: Tigre Res. 15% · draw 24% · Vélez Sársfield Res. 61%.
  • GG/NG: yes (51%) at 1.92.

What we picked

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.27. Most likely score in our grid: Tigre Res. 0–1 Vélez Sársfield Res.. Settled on the 90-minute score. Our numbers are estimates, not certainties – 18+ only, please bet responsibly.

Result chances

Tigre Res.15%fair 6.73 · @5.40
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.76
Vélez Sársfield Res.61%fair 1.63 · @1.49
2.53Expected goals
0.75Tigre Res. xG
1.77Vélez Sársfield Res. xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%

From our goals model: Tigre Res. 0.8 – 1.8 Vélez Sársfield Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVélez Sársfield Res. to win ✓61%1.631.49
Double chanceVélez Sársfield Res. or draw ✓85%1.171.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.941.92
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.391.26
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.79
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.27
Half-time resultVélez Sársfield Res. ahead at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vélez Sársfield Res. / FT Vélez Sársfield Res. ✓39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.57–

Recent results

Tigre Res. – last 6

LLDLLW
3 Nov@ River Plate Res.1–2L
28 Octvs Racing Club Res.1–3L
20 Oct@ Sarmiento Res.1–1D
14 Octvs Argentinos Juniors Res.0–1L
7 Oct@ Aldosivi Res.0–1L
29 Sepvs Gimnasia La Plata Res.2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Vélez Sársfield Res. – last 6

WWDWWD
4 Novvs San Lorenzo Res.2–0W
29 Oct@ Instituto Res.2–0W
21 Oct@ River Plate Res.1–1D
15 Octvs Racing Club Res.4–0W
8 Oct@ Sarmiento Res.1–0W
1 Octvs Argentinos Juniors Res.1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Jun 2026Vélez Sársfield Res. v Tigre Res.2–0
Tigre Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res. head-to-head page →

Reserve League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vélez Sársfield Res.201523+2947
2Boca Juniors Res.201235+2439
3Racing Club Res.211164+739
4River Plate Res.211146+937
5Independiente Res.191135+1936
6Lanús Res.191126+1335
7Newell's Old Boys Res.191045+934
8Quilmes 2181035+833
9Defensa y Justicia Res.18954+1432
10Atlético Tucumán Res.19937-230
11Unión Santa Fe Res.18783+429
12Estudiantes La Plata Res18846+928
13Argentinos Juniors Res.18774+628
14Belgrano Córdoba Res.18837-227
15Talleres Córdoba Res.18756+626
16Huracán Res.18756+626
17Rosario Central Res.18756+326
18Platense Res.18756-326
19Deportivo Riestra Res.18747+725
20Independiente Riva. Res.18738024
21Instituto Res.18594-124
22San Lorenzo Res.18666-224
23Gimnasia La Plata Res.18657+223
24Gimnasia Mendoza 218657-323
25Banfield Res.18657-423
26Ferro 218648-322
27Central Córdoba SdE Res.18549-1219
28Colón Res.185310-818
29Aldosivi Res.185310-1118
30Barracas Central Res.18459-1317
31Sarmiento Res.184410-1016
32Tigre Res.184410-1016
33Godoy Cruz Res.184311-1015
34Atl. Rafaela 2183312-1512
35Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2182511-2311
36San Martín San Juan Res.182214-438

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tigre Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.

Who will win Tigre Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?

On our numbers Tigre Res. have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vélez Sársfield Res. 61%.

How many goals will there be in Tigre Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tigre Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?

Our predicted score is Tigre Res. 0–1 Vélez Sársfield Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Tigre Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res.?

Tigre Res. vs Vélez Sársfield Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.