Motril v Almería II prediction

MotrilDLWDW
0:0
FT xG1.16 – 1.26
Motril36%@2.45Draw23%@2.94Almería II41%@2.67
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 00:52 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
68%chance
90Predict pick · Lost ✗

Over 1.5 goals

StrongFair 1.46Odds 1.34
Rating7/10
Value

Almería II to win @ 2.67our chance 41% vs 37% in the price · edge +10%

Picks by market

ResultAlmería II to win ✗41% · @2.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%

Motril vs Almería II – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Tercera División RFEF Group 9 action on Sunday 8 November sees Almería II travel to face Motril – the whistle goes at 17:00 WAT. The standings: Motril sit 6th on 17 points after 10 matches (in the upper half), Almería II 4th on 19 (inside the top four). A gap of just 2 points, so the result shifts the table for both.

Form guide

Motril over their last 5: DLWDW Most recently they shared the points with Granada II 1–1 on the road. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.8, conceding 1.3 per match.

Almería II over their last 5: DDWWD Most recently they shared the points with Churriana Vega 0–0 at home. Scoring 1.7, conceding 0.7 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Motril 1.2 – 1.3 Almería II in expected goals, roughly 2.4 combined. A middling goal outlook: 43% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Motril 36%, draw 23%, Almería II 41%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 52% at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Almería II to win at 2.67 – we make it 41%, the odds imply 37%.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68% chance, priced 1.34). Correct-score lean: Motril 1–1 Almería II. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Motril36%fair 2.77 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @2.94
Almería II41%fair 2.44 · @2.67
2.42Expected goals
1.16Motril xG
1.26Almería II xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Motril 1.2 – 1.3 Almería II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlmería II to win ✗41%2.442.67 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.911.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.461.34
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.61
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.18
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Almería II / FT Almería II ✗22%4.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.21–

Recent results

Motril – last 6

DLWDWW
1 Nov@ Granada II1–1D
25 Octvs Málaga II2–4L
18 Oct@ Cantoria2–0W
11 Octvs Atlético Porcuna1–1D
4 Oct@ UD San Pedro3–2W
27 Sepvs Alhaurino2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Almería II – last 6

DDWWDW
1 Novvs Churriana Vega0–0D
25 Octvs Atletico de Marbella2–2D
18 Oct@ Granada II1–0W
11 Octvs Málaga II2–1W
4 Oct@ Cantoria1–1D
27 Sepvs Atlético Porcuna4–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Motril and Almería II.

Motril vs Almería II head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 9 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Melilla10721+1023
2Arenas Armilla10640+1022
3Ciudad de Torredonjimeno10622+920
4Almería II10541+819
5Málaga II10532+918
6Motril10451+417
7Churriana Vega10433+515
8Marbelli10433015
9UD San Pedro10505-215
10Granada II10343+313
11Huétor Vega10343-213
12Atlético Porcuna10343-613
13Torre del Mar10334-112
14Alhaurino10235-49
15Atletico de Marbella10145-67
16Mancha Real10145-87
17Cantoria10046-114
18Malaga City100010-180

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Motril vs Almería II?

90Predict goes with Over 1.5 goals – a 68% chance, priced at 1.34.

Who will win Motril vs Almería II?

Motril win 36% of the time on our model, the draw 23%, Almería II 41%.

How many goals will there be in Motril vs Almería II?

Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 43% for over 2.5 and 52% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Motril vs Almería II?

Our correct-score lean is Motril 1–1 Almería II – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.4.

When is Motril vs Almería II?

Motril vs Almería II (Tercera División RFEF Group 9) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.