Mensajero v Marino prediction

1:1
FT xG1.82 – 0.92
MarinoDLWWL
Mensajero59%@1.84Draw23%@3.22Marino19%@3.72
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 02:46 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
73%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

Over 1.5 goals

StrongFair 1.38Odds 1.30
Rating8/10
Value

Mensajero to win @ 1.84our chance 59% vs 54% in the price · edge +8%

Picks by market

ResultMensajero to win ✗59% · @1.84
Double chanceMensajero or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%

Mensajero vs Marino – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

On the 90Predict board for Sunday 8 November: Mensajero host Marino in the Tercera División RFEF Group 12, kick-off 13:00 (WAT). Going in, Mensajero are 11th with 13 points and Marino 7th with 15 – one in the lower half, the other in the upper half. A gap of just 2 points, so the result shifts the table for both.

Form guide

Mensajero over their last 5: LDLDD Most recently they were beaten by Los Llanos 1–3 on the road. Scoring 1.5, conceding 2.5 per match.

Marino over their last 5: DLWWL Most recently they shared the points with Villa Santa Brígida 1–1 at home. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.8, conceding 1.0 per match.

On points per game, Marino arrive in better shape – 1.7 against 1.0.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Mensajero 1.8 – 0.9 Marino in expected goals, roughly 2.7 combined. A middling goal outlook: 49% for over 2.5, 53% for both teams scoring. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Mensajero 59%, draw 23%, Marino 19%.
  • Safer cover: Mensajero or draw – 81% at 1.17.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 53% at 1.82.
  • Price worth noting: Mensajero to win at 1.84 – we make it 59%, the odds imply 54%.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73% chance, priced 1.30). Correct-score lean: Mensajero 1–1 Marino. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mensajero59%fair 1.70 · @1.84
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.22
Marino19%fair 5.35 · @3.72
2.74Expected goals
1.82Mensajero xG
0.92Marino xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%

From our goals model: Mensajero 1.8 – 0.9 Marino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMensajero to win ✗59%1.701.84 ▲
Double chanceMensajero or draw ✓81%1.231.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.881.82
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.71
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.24
Half-time resultMensajero ahead at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Mensajero / FT Mensajero ✗37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Mensajero – last 6

LDLDDW
31 Oct@ Los Llanos1–3L
25 Octvs UD San Fernando2–2D
21 Oct@ Panadería Pulido0–5L
17 Oct@ Las Palmas III2–2D
11 Octvs San Bartolomé2–2D
3 Oct@ Villaverde Norte2–1W
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Marino – last 6

DLWWLW
1 Novvs Villa Santa Brígida1–1D
25 Oct@ Lanzarote0–1L
21 Oct@ Los Llanos2–1W
18 Octvs Estrella1–0W
10 Oct@ Unión Sur Yaiza1–2L
4 Octvs Playas Sotavento6–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mensajero and Marino.

Mensajero vs Marino head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 12 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1UD San Fernando10811+1825
2Panadería Pulido10721+1723
3San Miguel10712+1222
4Real Unión de Tenerife10622+620
5Las Palmas III10442+816
6Unión Sur Yaiza10514+316
7Marino10433+615
8Tenerife C9423+214
9Los Llanos9414+313
10Estrella10415-313
11Mensajero10343-513
12Lanzarote10262-212
13San Bartolomé10244-310
14Villa Santa Brígida10244-510
15Anaza10235-89
16Villaverde Norte10127-175
17Playas Sotavento10046-184
18Laguna de Duero10037-143

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mensajero vs Marino?

90Predict goes with Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance, priced at 1.30.

Who will win Mensajero vs Marino?

Mensajero win 59% of the time on our model, the draw 23%, Marino 19%.

How many goals will there be in Mensajero vs Marino?

Around 2.7 goals on our projection – 49% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Mensajero vs Marino?

Our correct-score lean is Mensajero 1–1 Marino – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.7.

When is Mensajero vs Marino?

Mensajero vs Marino (Tercera División RFEF Group 12) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.