Santa Amalia v Guadiana prediction
Santa Amalia63%@1.31Draw22%@5.20Guadiana14%@6.00
61%chance
90Predict pick · Lost ✗
Under 3.5 goals
GoodFair 1.63Odds 1.58
ValueBoth teams to score @ 1.95our chance 55% vs 51% in the price · edge +7%
Picks by market
ResultSanta Amalia to win ✓63% · @1.31
Double chanceSanta Amalia or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%
Santa Amalia vs Guadiana – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Kick-off 16:30 WAT on Sunday 8 November: Santa Amalia take on Guadiana in the Tercera División RFEF Group 14. The standings: Santa Amalia sit 12th on 12 points after 10 matches (in the lower half), Guadiana 18th on 1 (in the drop zone).
Form guide
Santa Amalia over their last 5: DDLDL Most recently they shared the points with Azuaga 0–0 on the road. On home soil in that run: 0 wins, 1 defeat in 3. Just 0.8 goals per match – chances are not being taken.
Guadiana over their last 5: LLLLL Most recently they were beaten by CD Zafra 0–4 at home. Just 0.3 goals per match – chances are not being taken.
On points per game, Santa Amalia arrive in better shape – 0.7 against 0.2.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Santa Amalia 2.1 – 0.9 Guadiana in expected goals, roughly 3.0 combined. That points to an open contest: over 2.5 comes out at 60% and both teams scoring at 55%.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Santa Amalia 63%, draw 22%, Guadiana 14%.
- Both teams to score: yes – 55% at 1.95.
- Price worth noting: Both teams to score at 1.95 – we make it 55%, the odds imply 51%.
What we called
Ade Ola's pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61% chance, priced 1.58). Correct-score lean: Santa Amalia 2–0 Guadiana. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santa Amalia63%fair 1.58 · @1.31
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @5.20
Guadiana14%fair 7.00 · @6.00
2.99Expected goals
2.08Santa Amalia xG
0.91Guadiana xG
55%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Santa Amalia 2.1 – 0.9 Guadiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|
| Match result | Santa Amalia to win ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.31 |
| Double chance | Santa Amalia or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.12 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.48 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.58 |
| Half-time result | Santa Amalia ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Santa Amalia / FT Santa Amalia ✗ | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.11 | – |
Recent results
Santa Amalia – last 6
DDLDLD
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guadiana – last 6
LLLLLD
0.3Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Amalia and Guadiana.
Santa Amalia vs Guadiana head-to-head page →
Tercera División RFEF Group 14 table
More Tercera División RFEF Group 14 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Santa Amalia vs Guadiana?
90Predict goes with Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance, priced at 1.58.
Who will win Santa Amalia vs Guadiana?
Santa Amalia win 63% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Guadiana 14%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Amalia vs Guadiana?
Around 3.0 goals on our projection – 60% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Santa Amalia vs Guadiana?
Our correct-score lean is Santa Amalia 2–0 Guadiana – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.0.
When is Santa Amalia vs Guadiana?
Santa Amalia vs Guadiana (Tercera División RFEF Group 14) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
