Varea vs Anguiano – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Varea v Anguiano is one of the Tercera División RFEF Group 16 fixtures we have priced for Sunday 8 November (12:00 WAT). Going in, Varea are 5th with 19 points and Anguiano 7th with 17 – one in the upper half, the other in the upper half. A gap of just 2 points, so the result shifts the table for both.
Form guide
Varea over their last 5: LLWWW Most recently they were beaten by Haro Deportivo 1–2 on the road. On home soil in that run: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. Just 0.7 goals per match – chances are not being taken. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
Anguiano over their last 5: WWWWL Most recently they got past Vianés 3–0 at home. Averaging 2.2 goals a match – the front line is in form. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
On points per game, Anguiano arrive in better shape – 2.0 against 1.5.
Past meetings
Last time out between these two (26 Apr 2026): Varea 0–0 Anguiano.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Varea 1.1 – 1.1 Anguiano in expected goals, roughly 2.3 combined. A middling goal outlook: 42% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams scoring. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Varea 39%, draw 22%, Anguiano 39%.
- Both teams to score: yes – 50% at 1.81.
- Price worth noting: Anguiano to win at 2.93 – we make it 39%, the odds imply 34%.
What we called
Ade Ola's pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78% chance, priced 1.21). Correct-score lean: Varea 1–1 Anguiano. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
