Quintanar del Rey vs Villarrubia – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Quintanar del Rey v Villarrubia is one of the Tercera División RFEF Group 18 fixtures we have priced for Sunday 8 November (18:00 WAT). Going in, Quintanar del Rey are 17th with 6 points and Villarrubia 11th with 13 – one in the drop zone, the other in the lower half.
Form guide
Quintanar del Rey over their last 5: DLLWL Most recently they shared the points with Marchamalo 3–3 on the road. Scoring 1.0, conceding 1.8 per match.
Villarrubia over their last 5: WDWLD Most recently they got past Socuéllamos 1–0 at home. Away from home in that run: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.3, conceding 1.0 per match.
On points per game, Villarrubia arrive in better shape – 1.3 against 0.7.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Quintanar del Rey 1.2 – 1.3 Villarrubia in expected goals, roughly 2.5 combined. A middling goal outlook: 44% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams scoring.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Quintanar del Rey 35%, draw 22%, Villarrubia 43%.
- Both teams to score: yes – 57% at 1.90.
- Price worth noting: Villarrubia to win at 2.59 – we make it 43%, the odds imply 39%.
What we called
Ade Ola's pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69% chance, priced 1.37). Correct-score lean: Quintanar del Rey 1–1 Villarrubia. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
