Sambiase vs Ragusa – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Serie D Girone I action on Sunday 8 November sees Ragusa travel to face Sambiase – the whistle goes at 14:30 WAT. The standings: Sambiase sit 2nd on 26 points after 11 matches (inside the top four), Ragusa 17th on 3 (in the drop zone). There are 23 points between them – very different campaigns so far.
Form guide
Sambiase over their last 5: WWDWL Most recently they got past Igea Virtus 4–2 on the road. On home soil in that run: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 3. 2.0 goals per outing tells you the attack is clicking.
Ragusa over their last 5: LLLDL Most recently they were beaten by Reggina 2–5 on the road. Away from home in that run: 0 wins, 3 defeats in 3. Just 0.8 goals per match – chances are not being taken.
On points per game, Sambiase arrive in better shape – 2.2 against 0.2.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Sambiase 2.0 – 0.7 Ragusa in expected goals, roughly 2.7 combined. A middling goal outlook: 51% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams scoring.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Sambiase 67%, draw 23%, Ragusa 10%.
- Both teams to score: no – 50% at 1.56.
What we called
Ade Ola's pre-match call was Sambiase to win (67% chance, priced 1.36). Correct-score lean: Sambiase 2–0 Ragusa. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
