Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Serie D Girone D action on Sunday 8 November sees Pavia travel to face Cittadella Vis Modena – the whistle goes at 14:30 WAT. Going in, Cittadella Vis Modena are 7th with 17 points and Pavia 12th with 14 – one in the upper half, the other in the lower half. A gap of just 3 points, so the result shifts the table for both.
Form guide
Cittadella Vis Modena over their last 5: LWDLL Most recently they were beaten by Crema 1–2 on the road. Scoring 1.0, conceding 0.8 per match.
Pavia over their last 5: WWLDL Most recently they got past Pro Patria 1–0 at home. Scoring 1.3, conceding 1.5 per match.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Cittadella Vis Modena 1.2 – 0.9 Pavia in expected goals, roughly 2.1 combined. That points to a tight, low-scoring affair – under 2.5 rates 61%.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Cittadella Vis Modena 46%, draw 22%, Pavia 32%.
- Both teams to score: yes – 51% at 1.99.
What we called
Ade Ola's pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (61% chance, priced 1.57). Correct-score lean: Cittadella Vis Modena 1–0 Pavia. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
