Serie D Girone E Kick-off

Gavorrano v Lucchese prediction

Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG1.50 – 1.38
Gavorrano42%@2.70Draw21%@3.30Lucchese37%@2.30
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 01:10 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
62%chance
90Predict pick

Both teams to score

GoodFair 1.61Odds 1.70
Rating5/10
Value

Gavorrano to win @ 2.70our chance 42% vs 37% in the price · edge +14%

Picks by market

ResultGavorrano to win42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78%
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%

Gavorrano vs Lucchese – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Kick-off 14:30 WAT on Sunday 15 November: Gavorrano take on Lucchese in the Serie D Girone E. Going in, Gavorrano are 4th with 21 points and Lucchese 6th with 18 – one inside the top four, the other in the upper half. A gap of just 3 points, so the result shifts the table for both.

Form guide

Gavorrano over their last 5: DWDDD Most recently they shared the points with Mezzolara 1–1 on the road. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 0 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.3, conceding 1.2 per match.

Lucchese over their last 5: WDLDL Most recently they got past San Donato Tavarnelle 1–0 at home. Scoring 1.2, conceding 1.5 per match.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Gavorrano 1.5 – 1.4 Lucchese in expected goals, roughly 2.9 combined. A middling goal outlook: 54% for over 2.5, 62% for both teams scoring. Recent games for both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Gavorrano 42%, draw 21%, Lucchese 37%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 62% at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Gavorrano to win at 2.70 – we make it 42%, the odds imply 37%.

Verdict

Ade Ola's verdict: Both teams to score (62% chance, priced 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.61, which makes it a value play). Correct-score lean: Gavorrano 1–1 Lucchese. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gavorrano42%fair 2.36 · @2.70
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.30
Lucchese37%fair 2.70 · @2.30
2.88Expected goals
1.50Gavorrano xG
1.38Lucchese xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%

From our goals model: Gavorrano 1.5 – 1.4 Lucchese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGavorrano to win42%2.362.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score62%1.611.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals54%1.861.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals68%1.48–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gavorrano / FT Gavorrano24%4.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.48–

Recent results

Gavorrano – last 6

DWDDDD
8 Nov@ Mezzolara1–1D
1 Novvs Scandicci3–2W
25 Oct@ Seravezza1–1D
18 Octvs Prato1–1D
11 Octvs Terranuova Traiana1–1D
4 Oct@ Flaminia1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Lucchese – last 6

WDLDLD
8 Novvs San Donato Tavarnelle1–0W
4 Novvs Sestri Levante1–1D
1 Nov@ Terranuova Traiana2–3L
25 Octvs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano1–1D
18 Oct@ Sasso Marconi Zola0–2L
11 Octvs Ternana2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gavorrano and Lucchese.

Gavorrano vs Lucchese head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone E table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Prato11740+1325
2Robur Siena11713+1422
3Ternana11632+1221
4Gavorrano11560+721
5Flaminia11542+219
6Lucchese11533+318
7Terranuova Traiana11452+417
8Tau Altopascio11524-417
9Montevarchi Calcio11515+216
10Seravezza11434+515
11Scandicci11434+315
12San Donato Tavarnelle11425-214
13Sasso Marconi Zola11326-211
14Mezzolara11182-611
15Rondinella11245-810
16Grassina11146-117
17Progresso11209-166
18Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano11038-163

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gavorrano vs Lucchese?

90Predict goes with Both teams to score – a 62% chance, priced at 1.70.

Who will win Gavorrano vs Lucchese?

Gavorrano win 42% of the time on our model, the draw 21%, Lucchese 37%.

How many goals will there be in Gavorrano vs Lucchese?

Around 2.9 goals on our projection – 54% for over 2.5 and 62% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Gavorrano vs Lucchese?

Our correct-score lean is Gavorrano 1–1 Lucchese – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.9.

When is Gavorrano vs Lucchese?

Gavorrano vs Lucchese (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.