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Iraqi League Full time Franso Hariri Stadium

Erbil v Gharraf prediction

ErbilWDLLL
1:1
FT xG1.75 – 0.53
GharrafWDWDL
Erbil69%@1.53Draw19%@3.55Gharraf13%@5.75
77%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.30Odds 1.23
Rating8/10

Picks by market

ResultErbil to win ✗69% · @1.53
Double chanceErbil or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%

Erbil v Gharraf: preview, numbers and pick

The fixture

Sunday 8 November, 14:30 WAT: Erbil welcome Gharraf in the Iraqi League at Franso Hariri Stadium. In the table, Erbil have 20 points from 13 games (7th, in the top half) and Gharraf have 14 (13th, in the bottom half).

Recent form

Erbil, last 5 games: WDLLL Their latest: 6–0 at home – they beat Kazma. Home record in that spell: 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per game – this attack is firing.

Gharraf, last 5 games: WDWDL Their latest: 2–1 away – they beat Al Karkh. Away record in that spell: 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Only 0.8 goals per game – the attack has stalled.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Gharraf 0–0 Erbil.

The numbers on goals

90Predict's expected goals: Erbil 1.7 – 0.5 Gharraf, about 2.3 in total. Middle of the road for goals: 43% over 2.5, 49% both teams to score.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 on our numbers: Erbil 69% · draw 19% · Gharraf 13%.
  • GG/NG: no (51%) at 1.72.

What we picked

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.23. Most likely score in our grid: Erbil 1–0 Gharraf. Settled on the 90-minute score. Our numbers are estimates, not certainties – 18+ only, please bet responsibly.

Result chances

Erbil69%fair 1.45 · @1.53
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @3.55
Gharraf13%fair 7.94 · @5.75
2.28Expected goals
1.75Erbil xG
0.53Gharraf xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Erbil 1.7 – 0.5 Gharraf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultErbil to win ✗69%1.451.53 ▲
Double chanceErbil or draw ✓87%1.141.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗51%1.961.72
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.461.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.23
Half-time resultErbil ahead at half-time ✓46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Erbil / FT Erbil ✗42%2.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.59–

Recent results

Erbil – last 6

WDLLLD
4 Novvs Kazma6–0W
31 Octvs Ghaz Al Shamal1–1D
22 Oct@ Zakho1–2L
17 Octvs Mosul0–1L
14 Oct@ Ajman4–5L
8 Oct@ Naft Maysan1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Gharraf – last 6

WDWDLL
31 Oct@ Al Karkh2–1W
22 Octvs Naft0–0D
16 Oct@ Karbala2–1W
9 Octvs Al-Jolan SC0–0D
17 Sep@ Al Zawra'a0–2L
12 Sep@ Diyala1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Gharraf v Erbil0–0
Erbil vs Gharraf head-to-head page →

Iraqi League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Karma13931+1330
2Newroz13751+1326
3Naft13742+825
4Al Shorta13661+824
5Al-Jolan SC13652+723
6Al Zawra'a13634+521
7Erbil13553+720
8Duhok13463+418
9Al Minaa Basra13454-117
10Ghaz Al Shamal13373-116
11Al Talaba13373-316
12Diyala13355-314
13Gharraf13355-614
14Al Quwa Al Jawiya13274013
15Zakho13346-713
16Al Karkh13337-512
17Mosul13337-812
18Al Kahrabaa13256-611
19Naft Maysan13166-119
20Karbala13148-147

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Erbil vs Gharraf?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win Erbil vs Gharraf?

On our numbers Erbil have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Gharraf 13%.

How many goals will there be in Erbil vs Gharraf?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Erbil vs Gharraf?

Our predicted score is Erbil 1–0 Gharraf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Erbil vs Gharraf?

Erbil vs Gharraf (Iraqi League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Franso Hariri Stadium.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.