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GOR Mahia v Nairobi United prediction

GOR MahiaWWLLW
1:1
FT xG1.60 – 0.81
Nairobi UnitedLDDDD
GOR Mahia59%@1.79Draw20%@3.05Nairobi United21%@4.25
By · Lead analystUpdated 11 Nov 2026, 23:54 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
67%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

Over 1.5 goals

GoodFair 1.48Odds 1.38
Rating6/10
Value

Both teams to score @ 2.01our chance 54% vs 50% in the price · edge +8%

Picks by market

ResultGOR Mahia to win ✗59% · @1.79
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.01
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%

GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

GOR Mahia v Nairobi United is one of the FKF Premier League fixtures we have priced for Sunday 8 November (14:15 WAT).

Form guide

GOR Mahia over their last 5: WWLLW Most recently they got past Homeboyz 1–0 on the road. On home soil in that run: 2 wins, 2 defeats in 4. Scoring 1.3, conceding 1.8 per match.

Nairobi United over their last 5: LDDDD Most recently they were beaten by Murang'a SEAL 2–3 on the road. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.2, conceding 1.2 per match.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (31 May 2026): GOR Mahia 0–1 Nairobi United.

Goal forecast

Our model projects GOR Mahia 1.6 – 0.8 Nairobi United in expected goals, roughly 2.4 combined. A middling goal outlook: 42% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): GOR Mahia 59%, draw 20%, Nairobi United 21%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 54% at 2.01.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score at 2.01 – we make it 54%, the odds imply 50%.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67% chance, priced 1.38). Correct-score lean: GOR Mahia 1–1 Nairobi United. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

GOR Mahia59%fair 1.71 · @1.79
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.05
Nairobi United21%fair 4.76 · @4.25
2.41Expected goals
1.60GOR Mahia xG
0.81Nairobi United xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–012%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%

From our goals model: GOR Mahia 1.6 – 0.8 Nairobi United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGOR Mahia to win ✗59%1.711.79
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.261.26
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.872.01 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.481.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.741.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.291.17
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT GOR Mahia / FT GOR Mahia ✗34%2.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.74–

Recent results

GOR Mahia – last 6

WWLLWL
28 Oct@ Homeboyz1–0W
13 Octvs Murang'a SEAL4–2W
2 Octvs KCB1–2L
13 Sep@ Pyramids FC1–5L
11 Sepvs Bandari1–0W
6 Sepvs Pyramids FC0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Nairobi United – last 6

LDDDDW
28 Oct@ Murang'a SEAL2–3L
25 Octvs APS Bomet1–1D
18 Oct@ Shabana0–0D
11 Octvs KCB2–2D
2 Octvs Bandari1–1D
31 May@ GOR Mahia1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026GOR Mahia v Nairobi United0–1
GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United head-to-head page →

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub
FT Bandari1 Tusker0 Tip: Under 2.5 goals 12.8933%X2.7224%22.4543% U2.571%@1.30✓
FT Murang'a SEAL2 Ulinzi Stars2 Tip: Over 1.5 goals 12.0648%X2.8823%23.4629% O1.567%@1.43✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?

90Predict goes with Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance, priced at 1.38.

Who will win GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?

GOR Mahia win 59% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, Nairobi United 21%.

How many goals will there be in GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?

Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 42% for over 2.5 and 54% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?

Our correct-score lean is GOR Mahia 1–1 Nairobi United – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.4.

When is GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?

GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.