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Vasco DA Gama v Palmeiras prediction

2:1
FTPens 4–5 xG1.15 – 1.30
Vasco DA Gama35%@2.60Draw22%@3.25Palmeiras43%@2.70
76%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

Under 3.5 goals

StrongFair 1.32Odds 1.25
Rating8/10
Value

Palmeiras to win @ 2.70our chance 43% vs 37% in the price · edge +16%

Picks by market

ResultPalmeiras to win ✗43% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%

Vasco DA Gama v Palmeiras: preview, numbers and pick

The fixture

Next up in the Copa Do Brasil: Vasco DA Gama against Palmeiras, Sunday 8 November at 21:00 WAT.

Recent form

Vasco DA Gama, last 5 games: WLLWL Their latest: 3–1 away – they beat Atletico Paranaense. Home record in that spell: 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals: 1.3 for and 2.0 against per game.

Palmeiras, last 5 games: WWDWL Their latest: 6–1 at home – they beat Remo. Goals: 1.8 for and 0.3 against per game. And 4 clean sheets in that run – the defence is holding.

Palmeiras come in with the stronger run: 2.2 points per game, compared with 1.0.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Nov 2026) it ended Palmeiras 1–0 Vasco DA Gama. The last 3 meetings: Vasco DA Gama 1 win, Palmeiras 2, 0 draws – 3.0 goals a game on average, with both sides scoring 2 times.

The numbers on goals

90Predict's expected goals: Vasco DA Gama 1.1 – 1.3 Palmeiras, about 2.5 in total. Middle of the road for goals: 45% over 2.5, 56% both teams to score.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 on our numbers: Vasco DA Gama 35% · draw 22% · Palmeiras 43%.
  • GG/NG: yes (56%) at 1.80.
  • Value spot: Palmeiras to win at 2.70 – 43% for us, 37% by the bookmaker.

What we picked

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Most likely score in our grid: Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Palmeiras. Settled on the 90-minute score. Our numbers are estimates, not certainties – 18+ only, please bet responsibly.

Result chances

Vasco DA Gama35%fair 2.82 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Palmeiras43%fair 2.33 · @2.70
2.45Expected goals
1.15Vasco DA Gama xG
1.30Palmeiras xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Vasco DA Gama 1.1 – 1.3 Palmeiras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPalmeiras to win ✗43%2.332.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.441.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.801.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Palmeiras / FT Palmeiras ✗23%4.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.90–

Recent results

Vasco DA Gama – last 6

WLLWLL
4 Nov@ Atletico Paranaense3–1W
1 Nov@ Palmeiras0–1L
30 Octvs Flamengo1–4L
24 Octvs Corinthians3–2W
21 Octvs Boca Juniors1–3L
18 Oct@ Sao Paulo0–1L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Palmeiras – last 6

WWDWLW
5 Novvs Remo6–1W
1 Novvs Vasco DA Gama1–0W
28 Oct@ Santos0–0D
24 Octvs RB Bragantino2–0W
22 Octvs Fluminense0–1L
17 Oct@ Atletico Paranaense2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Nov 2026Palmeiras v Vasco DA Gama1–0
23 Aug 2026Palmeiras v Vasco DA Gama4–1
12 Mar 2026Vasco DA Gama v Palmeiras2–1
Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

On our numbers Vasco DA Gama have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Palmeiras 43%.

How many goals will there be in Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

Our predicted score is Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Palmeiras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras?

Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.