AOBy Ade Ola · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 02:52 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
79%chance
90Predict pick
Over 2.5 goals
Very strongFair 1.27Odds 1.22
Rating9/10
Value
Both teams to score @ 1.73our chance 64% vs 58% in the price · edge +11%
Picks by market
ResultBarcelona W to win76% · @1.17
Double chanceBarcelona W or draw92% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score64% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–18%
Barcelona W vs Arsenal W – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Kick-off 18:45 WAT on Thursday 12 November: Barcelona W take on Arsenal W in the UEFA Champions League Women, with Spotify Camp Nou hosting. Going in, Barcelona W are 1st with 9 points and Arsenal W 5th with 7 – one leading the way, the other in the upper half. A gap of just 2 points, so the result shifts the table for both.
Form guide
Barcelona W over their last 5: WWWWL Most recently they got past Madrid CFF W 5–1 at home. On home soil in that run: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 3. Averaging 4.7 goals a match – the front line is in form. 4 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
Arsenal W over their last 5: WDWWD Most recently they got past Liverpool W 2–1 on the road. Away from home in that run: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.8, conceding 1.3 per match.
On points per game, Barcelona W arrive in better shape – 2.5 against 1.8.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Barcelona W 3.2 – 1.1 Arsenal W in expected goals, roughly 4.4 combined. Expect chances at both ends – 79% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.
Betting angles
Match result (1X2): Barcelona W 76%, draw 15%, Arsenal W 8%.
Both teams to score: yes – 64% at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score at 1.73 – we make it 64%, the odds imply 58%.
Verdict
We are going with Over 2.5 goals (79% chance, priced 1.22). Correct-score lean: Barcelona W 3–1 Arsenal W. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barcelona W76%fair 1.31 · @1.17
Draw15%fair 6.46 · @7.50
Arsenal W8%fair 11.91 · @13.00
4.35Expected goals
3.21Barcelona W xG
1.14Arsenal W xG
64%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
2–18%
3–07%
2–07%
4–17%
4–06%
From our goals model: Barcelona W 3.2 – 1.1 Arsenal W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barcelona W to win
76%
1.31
1.17
Double chance
Barcelona W or draw
92%
1.09
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
64%
1.56
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
91%
1.10
1.06
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
61%
1.64
1.57
Half-time result
Barcelona W ahead at half-time
60%
1.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barcelona W / FT Barcelona W
55%
1.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1
8%
12.33
–
Recent results
Barcelona W – last 6
WWWWLW
8 Nov
vs Madrid CFF W
5–1
W
1 Nov
@ FC Levante Badalona W
4–0
W
29 Oct
@ Køge W
8–0
W
24 Oct
vs Granada
3–0
W
18 Oct
@ Real Sociedad W
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Real Madrid W
7–0
W
4.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Arsenal W – last 6
WDWWDL
7 Nov
@ Liverpool W
2–1
W
1 Nov
vs Aston Villa W
1–1
D
28 Oct
vs SL Benfica W
3–0
W
24 Oct
@ Tottenham Hotspur W
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs Birmingham City W
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Manchester City W
2–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barcelona W and Arsenal W.
What is the prediction for Barcelona W vs Arsenal W?
90Predict goes with Over 2.5 goals – a 79% chance, priced at 1.22.
Who will win Barcelona W vs Arsenal W?
Barcelona W win 76% of the time on our model, the draw 15%, Arsenal W 8%.
How many goals will there be in Barcelona W vs Arsenal W?
Around 4.4 goals on our projection – 79% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Barcelona W vs Arsenal W?
Our correct-score lean is Barcelona W 3–1 Arsenal W – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 4.4.
When is Barcelona W vs Arsenal W?
Barcelona W vs Arsenal W (UEFA Champions League Women) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Spotify Camp Nou.
Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
