Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Liga Pro action on Sunday 8 November sees Guayaquil City FC travel to face Leones del Norte at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra – the whistle goes at 22:00 WAT. The standings: Leones del Norte sit 9th on 47 points after 36 matches, Guayaquil City FC 8th on 48. A gap of just 1 point, so the result shifts the table for both.
Form guide
Leones del Norte over their last 5: WWLLD Most recently they got past Emelec 2–0 on the road. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.3, conceding 1.5 per match.
Guayaquil City FC over their last 5: DWLWD Most recently they shared the points with Libertad 0–0 at home. Scoring 1.3, conceding 1.3 per match.
On points per game, Guayaquil City FC arrive in better shape – 1.8 against 1.2.
Past meetings
Last time out between these two (20 Sep 2026): Guayaquil City FC 1–1 Leones del Norte. Across 3 meetings on record, Leones del Norte have won 0, Guayaquil City FC 0 and 3 finished level, averaging 1.3 goals – both teams found the net in 2 of them.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Leones del Norte 1.8 – 0.6 Guayaquil City FC in expected goals, roughly 2.5 combined. A middling goal outlook: 46% for over 2.5, 49% for both teams scoring.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Leones del Norte 68%, draw 20%, Guayaquil City FC 12%.
- Safer cover: Leones del Norte or draw – 88% at 1.17.
- Both teams to score: no – 51% at 1.83.
What we called
Ade Ola's pre-match call was Leones del Norte to win (68% chance, priced 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.47, which makes it a value play). Correct-score lean: Leones del Norte 1–0 Guayaquil City FC. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
