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CONCACAF Nations League Kick-off Stade Roger Zami

Bermuda v St. Lucia prediction

BermudaLLLLL
Fri 13 Nov 2026 xG1.07 – 2.56
St. LuciaWWWLL
Bermuda16%@5.25Draw13%@5.32St. Lucia72%@1.43
By · Lead analystUpdated 12 Nov 2026, 01:01 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
72%chance
90Predict pick

St. Lucia to win

StrongFair 1.40Odds 1.43
Rating7/10

Picks by market

ResultSt. Lucia to win72% · @1.43
Double chanceEither team to win87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score65% · @1.41
GoalsOver 2.5 goals69% · @1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%

Bermuda vs St. Lucia – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

CONCACAF Nations League action on Friday 13 November sees St. Lucia travel to face Bermuda at Stade Roger Zami – the whistle goes at 20:00 WAT.

Form guide

Bermuda over their last 5: LLLLL Most recently they were beaten by Barbados 1–2 at home. Scoring 1.0, conceding 3.2 per match.

St. Lucia over their last 5: WWWLL Most recently they got past Guadeloupe 1–0 on the road. Away from home in that run: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. Averaging 2.0 goals a match – the front line is in form. 2 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

On points per game, St. Lucia arrive in better shape – 1.8 against 0.0.

Past meetings

Last time out between these two (29 Sep 2026): St. Lucia 5–2 Bermuda.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Bermuda 1.1 – 2.6 St. Lucia in expected goals, roughly 3.6 combined. Expect chances at both ends – 69% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Recent games for both sides have tended to go over 2.5 too.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Bermuda 16%, draw 13%, St. Lucia 72%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 65% at 1.41.

Verdict

The 90Predict call: St. Lucia to win (72% chance, priced 1.43 – longer than our fair 1.40, which makes it a value play). Correct-score lean: Bermuda 1–2 St. Lucia. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bermuda16%fair 6.29 · @5.25
Draw13%fair 7.98 · @5.32
St. Lucia72%fair 1.40 · @1.43
3.64Expected goals
1.07Bermuda xG
2.56St. Lucia xG
65%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
0–37%
1–17%
0–17%

From our goals model: Bermuda 1.1 – 2.6 St. Lucia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt. Lucia to win72%1.401.43
Double chanceEither team to win87%1.141.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score65%1.541.41
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals86%1.161.07
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals69%1.451.34
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals51%1.951.79
Half-time resultSt. Lucia ahead at half-time52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT St. Lucia / FT St. Lucia47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.77–

Recent results

Bermuda – last 5

LLLLL
6 Octvs Barbados1–2L
3 Oct@ Barbados1–4L
29 Sep@ St. Lucia2–5L
25 Sepvs Guadeloupe1–2L
6 Jun@ Cape Verde Islands0–3L
1.0Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

St. Lucia – last 5

WWWLL
5 Oct@ Guadeloupe1–0W
2 Octvs Guadeloupe3–0W
29 Sepvs Bermuda5–2W
26 Sep@ Barbados0–2L
27 Mar@ Azerbaijan1–6L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Sep 2026St. Lucia v Bermuda5–2
Bermuda vs St. Lucia head-to-head page →

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

League hub
Antigua and Barbuda Trinidad and Tobago Tip: Trinidad and Tobago to win 17.9011%X5.1017%21.3172% 272%@1.31
Curaçao Panama Tip: Over 1.5 goals 13.4226%X3.3421%22.0552% O1.575%@1.33

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bermuda vs St. Lucia?

90Predict goes with St. Lucia to win – a 72% chance, priced at 1.43.

Who will win Bermuda vs St. Lucia?

Bermuda win 16% of the time on our model, the draw 13%, St. Lucia 72%.

How many goals will there be in Bermuda vs St. Lucia?

Around 3.6 goals on our projection – 69% for over 2.5 and 65% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Bermuda vs St. Lucia?

Our correct-score lean is Bermuda 1–2 St. Lucia – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 3.6.

When is Bermuda vs St. Lucia?

Bermuda vs St. Lucia (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Roger Zami.

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.