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Novin Ahvaz v Ario Eslamshahr prediction

0:0
FT xG1.15 – 0.99
Novin Ahvaz42%@2.52Draw25%@2.63Ario Eslamshahr34%@2.89
By · Lead analystUpdated 11 Nov 2026, 23:48 WAT · Picks graded in public on the results page
63%chance
90Predict pick · Won ✓

Under 2.5 goals

GoodFair 1.58Odds 1.46
Rating6/10
Value

Both teams to score @ 2.07our chance 53% vs 48% in the price · edge +9%

Picks by market

ResultNovin Ahvaz to win ✗42% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.07
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%

Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

On the 90Predict board for Monday 9 November: Novin Ahvaz host Ario Eslamshahr in the Azadegan League, kick-off 14:15 (WAT). The standings: Novin Ahvaz sit 9th on 12 points after 9 matches (in the lower half), Ario Eslamshahr 7th on 13 (in the upper half). A gap of just 1 point, so the result shifts the table for both.

Form guide

Novin Ahvaz over their last 5: WDWDD Most recently they got past Naft Bandar Abbas 1–0 on the road. On home soil in that run: 0 wins, 0 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.0, conceding 0.7 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

Ario Eslamshahr over their last 5: LLWWL Most recently they were beaten by Fard Alborz 0–3 at home. Scoring 1.3, conceding 0.8 per match. 3 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Novin Ahvaz 1.1 – 1.0 Ario Eslamshahr in expected goals, roughly 2.1 combined. That points to a tight, low-scoring affair – under 2.5 rates 63%. Recent games for both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result (1X2): Novin Ahvaz 42%, draw 25%, Ario Eslamshahr 34%.
  • Both teams to score: yes – 53% at 2.07.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score at 2.07 – we make it 53%, the odds imply 48%.

What we called

Ade Ola's pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63% chance, priced 1.46). Correct-score lean: Novin Ahvaz 1–0 Ario Eslamshahr. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.

Result chances

Novin Ahvaz42%fair 2.40 · @2.52
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.63
Ario Eslamshahr34%fair 2.98 · @2.89
2.13Expected goals
1.15Novin Ahvaz xG
0.99Ario Eslamshahr xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Novin Ahvaz 1.1 – 1.0 Ario Eslamshahr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNovin Ahvaz to win ✗42%2.402.52 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.331.26
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.902.07 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗63%1.581.43
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.581.46
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Novin Ahvaz / FT Novin Ahvaz ✗22%4.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.03–

Recent results

Novin Ahvaz – last 6

WDWDDD
2 Nov@ Naft Bandar Abbas1–0W
27 Octvs Be'sat Kermanshah0–0D
19 Oct@ Havadar1–0W
11 Octvs Naft Masjed Soleyman1–1D
4 Oct@ Naft Gachsaran1–1D
27 Sepvs Shahin Bandar Ameri2–2D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Ario Eslamshahr – last 6

LLWWLW
2 Novvs Fard Alborz0–3L
27 Oct@ Pars Jonoubi JAM0–1L
20 Octvs Naft Bandar Abbas4–0W
12 Octvs Be'sat Kermanshah2–0W
5 Oct@ Mes Rafsanjan0–1L
28 Sepvs Havadar2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Novin Ahvaz and Ario Eslamshahr.

Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr head-to-head page →

Azadegan League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pars Jonoubi JAM9630+821
2Shenavarsazi Qeshm9531+418
3Fard Alborz9522+917
4Mes Rafsanjan9441+516
5Mes Soongoun9432+115
6Shahin Bandar Ameri9342013
7Ario Eslamshahr9414013
8Naft Gachsaran9333+112
9Novin Ahvaz9261+112
10Saipa9333012
11Naft Masjed Soleyman9324+211
12Be'sat Kermanshah9234-29
13Mes Kerman9144-37
14Naft Bandar Abbas9144-87
15Niroye Zamini9117-94
16Havadar9045-94

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr?

90Predict goes with Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance, priced at 1.46.

Who will win Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Novin Ahvaz win 42% of the time on our model, the draw 25%, Ario Eslamshahr 34%.

How many goals will there be in Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Around 2.1 goals on our projection – 37% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Our correct-score lean is Novin Ahvaz 1–0 Ario Eslamshahr – the likeliest scoreline that agrees with our tip. Total goals projected: 2.1.

When is Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr (Azadegan League) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from 90Predict's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.