Lobos Upnfm vs CD Motagua – match briefing & prediction
Match briefing
Liga Nacional action on Sunday 8 November sees CD Motagua travel to face Lobos Upnfm at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse – the whistle goes at 00:15 WAT. Going in, Lobos Upnfm are 6th with 19 points and CD Motagua 4th with 28 – one in the upper half, the other inside the top four.
Form guide
Lobos Upnfm over their last 5: DWLWD Most recently they shared the points with Olancho 0–0 on the road. On home soil in that run: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.7, conceding 0.7 per match. 4 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
CD Motagua over their last 5: WWLWD Most recently they got past Estrella Roja 2–1 on the road. Away from home in that run: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. Scoring 1.5, conceding 0.5 per match. 4 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.
Past meetings
Last time out between these two (22 Aug 2026): CD Motagua 4–1 Lobos Upnfm. Across 3 meetings on record, Lobos Upnfm have won 1, CD Motagua 2 and 0 finished level, averaging 3.3 goals – both teams found the net in 2 of them.
Goal forecast
Our model projects Lobos Upnfm 0.8 – 1.8 CD Motagua in expected goals, roughly 2.7 combined. A middling goal outlook: 51% for over 2.5, 58% for both teams scoring.
Betting angles
- Match result (1X2): Lobos Upnfm 15%, draw 24%, CD Motagua 61%.
- Safer cover: CD Motagua or draw – 85% at 1.19.
- Both teams to score: yes – 58% at 1.64.
- Price worth noting: CD Motagua to win at 1.82 – we make it 61%, the odds imply 55%.
What we called
Ade Ola's pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75% chance, priced 1.21). Correct-score lean: Lobos Upnfm 0–2 CD Motagua. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.
