Deportiva Minera v FC Cartagena prediction

Deportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena – match briefing & prediction

Match briefing

Copa Del Rey action on Wednesday 18 November sees FC Cartagena travel to face Deportiva Minera at Estadio Municipal Angel Celdran – the whistle goes at 20:30 WAT.

Form guide

Deportiva Minera over their last 5: LWWWW Most recently they were beaten by Castellón II 0–3 on the road. On home soil in that run: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.7, conceding 0.8 per match. 4 clean sheets show a back line that is hard to break.

FC Cartagena over their last 5: DLLWD Most recently they shared the points with Sant Andreu 2–2 at home. Away from home in that run: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. Scoring 1.3, conceding 1.5 per match.

On points per game, Deportiva Minera arrive in better shape – 2.5 against 1.3.

Goal forecast

Our model projects Deportiva Minera 1.2 – 1.4 FC Cartagena in expected goals, roughly 2.5 combined. A middling goal outlook: 47% for over 2.5, 53% for both teams scoring.

Betting angles

• Match result (1X2): Deportiva Minera 17%, draw 58%, FC Cartagena 26%.
• Safer cover: FC Cartagena or draw – 83% at 1.33.
• Both teams to score: yes – 53% at 1.75.
• Price worth noting: Draw at 3.00 – we make it 58%, the odds imply 33%.

Verdict

We are going with FC Cartagena or draw (83% chance, priced 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.20, which makes it a value play). Correct-score lean: Deportiva Minera 1–1 FC Cartagena. Bets settle on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. These are probabilities, not promises – 18+, stake only what you can afford.